分析:2026年比特币ETF抛售潮是牛市的“净化”过程

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PANews 2月24日消息,据Cointelegraph报道,EMJ Capital创始人Eric Jackson表示,当前比特币ETF投资者正经历“机构退出”,但这并非比特币牛市的终结,而是“净化”过程,未来将由主权财富基金、企业财库及养老基金等持有数十年的长期资本接替。 Jackson指出,自2021年牛市以来,机构已成为本周期加密市场的“边际买家”,而散户则涌入科技股。比特币目前与iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)高度同步下跌,表现更像“换了标志的高贝塔科技头寸”而非价值存储。现货比特币ETF持续净流出,叠加去年10月以来比特币跌势,加剧市场悲观情绪。然而他认为,每一轮周期中弱手被淘汰后,取而代之的是期限更长的资本。下一阶段进入的将是主权财富基金、企业财库及养老资本,这些资金不以季度为周期再平衡,与IGV不相关,且持有期达数十年而非周期。Jackson表示,稳定币供应恢复及IGV抛压结束将是关键看涨信号。

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