美联储研究人员称Kalshi数据可为政策制定提供实时参考

Prediction Market Trader Bets $43K on T1 Victory Over Nongshim in LoL Championship

Gate News message, April 29 — A trader with a 53% win rate purchased $43,000 worth of prediction contracts betting on T1's victory over Nongshim Red Force (NS) in an upcoming League of Legends match on Polymarket, according to monitoring by Odaily Seer. The position was opened at 75 cents per contra

CFTC Sues Wisconsin Governor Over Prediction Market Oversight

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed a lawsuit on Tuesday against Wisconsin Democratic Governor Tony Evers, Attorney General Joshua Kaul, and John Dillett, administrator of the Wisconsin Department of Administration Division of Gaming, in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of

美國聯邦法院首起 Polymarket 內幕交易開審，美軍士兵拒不認罪

據 Decrypt 報道，美國陸軍一級軍士長加農·肯·範·戴克（Gannon Ken Van Dyke）於 4 月 29 日在紐約聯邦法院就利用機密情報在預測市場 Polymarket 獲利的指控拒不認罪，以 25 萬美元保釋金獲釋，並被勒令上繳護照及限制出行；檢察官稱，這是聯邦政府首次就預測市場活動相關案件提起訴訟。

Polymarket Prediction on Powell's April Press Conference Saying 'Good Afternoon' Reaches 98.3% Probability

Gate News message, April 29 — On Polymarket, a prediction market event regarding what Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will say at his April press conference shows the "Good Afternoon" option has reached a 98.3% probability, with trading volume for this event totaling $57,749 as the settlement pr

Polymarket 否認 30 萬筆記錄外洩指控，稱 API 數據為公開可審計

根據 Polymarket 於 4 月 29 日在 X 貼文，網路安全帳號 Dark Web Informer 指控去中心化預測市場平台 Polymarket 遭到入侵，超過 30 萬筆記錄及一個漏洞利用工具包被洩露至網路犯罪論壇；Polymarket 隨即在 X 聲明否認，表示所有鏈上數據公開可審計。