分析：比特币未平仓合约较去年10月份高点下降30%，为牛市反弹奠定了基础

GateNews

2026-01-15 05:58:36

PANews 1月15日消息，据Cointelegraph报道，CryptoQuant数据显示，比特币衍生品市场的未平仓合约（IO）自去年10月以来已下降约30%。分析指出，这种“去杠杆化信号”有助于清除市场累积的过度杠杆。历史上，类似的大幅下降往往标志着市场重要底部，为潜在的看涨复苏奠定更坚实基础。但若比特币价格持续下跌并完全进入熊市，未平仓合约可能进一步收缩，意味着更深度的去杠杆和调整期的延长。去年10月6日，比特币未平仓合约曾达到超过150亿美元的历史峰值。当前，在价格上涨伴随未平仓合约下降的情况下，通常意味着杠杆空头头寸正在被平仓或清算，这种“空头挤压”局面可能利好比特币，因价格上涨更多由现货买盘驱动而非过度杠杆。不过，衍生品提供商Greeks Live指出，衍生品市场尚未进入结构性的看涨阶段，当前的交易结构更像是对价格突然上涨的被动反应。

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分析：比特币未平仓合约较去年10月份高点下降30%，为牛市反弹​​奠定了基础

分析：比特币未平仓合约较去年10月份高点下降30%，为牛市反弹奠定了基础