前摩根士丹利亚洲区主席:美联储关注风险转变,美股市场或出现修正

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金色财经报道,谈及降息预期,美国耶鲁大学高级研究员、前摩根士丹利亚洲区主席斯蒂芬·罗奇指出,美联储不会迫于政治压力而急于调整政策。但另一方面,劳动力市场的脆弱性,加之关税因素的扰动,可能促使美联储转向更为宽松的立场。虽然当前风险已出现变化,但幅度尚不剧烈,其后续发展仍将依赖于未来数据的表现。罗奇还表示,美国经济已显示出放缓迹象,消费增速仅为过去几年平均水平的一半。此外,AI领域的投资热潮隐藏泡沫风险,美股“七巨头”的市值集中度甚至已超过2000年互联网泡沫时期的水平。“因此我认为,美股在未来六个月内很可能出现一定程度的市场修正。”他说。(21财经)

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