FOMC前瞻:美联储过于不确定,无法做出任何改变,但需关注鹰派观点

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Gate News bot消息,知名金融博客ZeroHedge展望,联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)将维持利率在4.25-4.5%不变,正如路透社最新调查显示,接受调查的105位经济学家中,有103位预计利率将维持在4.25-4.5%不变,另有两位预计降息25个基点。

在同一调查中,105位经济学家中有59位预测美联储将在下个季度(可能在9月)恢复降息,而60%的经济学家预计美联储今年将降息两次,这与3月份点阵图中位数一致,也与货币市场预期基本一致——货币市场预期美联储到年底将降息46个基点。

美联储利率决议和最新经济预测摘要(SEP)将于美国东部时间6月18日周三下午2:00发布,随后鲍威尔将于美国东部时间下午2:30举行新闻发布会。

Newsquawk在前瞻中写道,由于特朗普关税政策的经济影响仍存在不确定性,美联储可能会继续保持观望态度,密切关注与利率决定同时发布的最新SEP;注意力将集中在2025年点阵图上,该点阵图目前显示今年将降息50个基点。

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