# 变盘

BTC 68,800 repeatedly tested, 4-hour triangle convergence ending
Currently at 68,800, a symmetrical triangle has formed on the 4-hour chart, with the lower boundary at 68,200 and the upper boundary at 69,500. A price reversal is expected within 24 hours.
Two scenarios:
· Break above 69,500 and stabilize → go long, target 71,200 / 73,000, stop loss 68,800.
· Break below 68,200 → go short, target 67,000 / 66,200, stop loss 69,000.
On-chain data: exchange balances continue to decline, long-term holders are still accumulating. Medium to long-term longs can be added in batches at 66,500-67,000.