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GOLD REBOUNDS FROM OVER ONE-MONTH LOW BUT INFLATION FEARS CAP GAINS
Gold prices rose on Tuesday, rebounding from a more than one-month low hit in the previous session, though gains were limited by elevated oil prices that kept inflation fears alive and clouded the U.S. interest rate outlook.
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TUESDAY'S BREAKING NEWS
USD | S&P GLOBAL SERVICES PMI (APR)
Time: 16:45
Effects: High
Previously: 51.3
Forecast: 51.3
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USD | NEW HOME SALES (MAR)
Time: 17:00
Effects: High
Previously: 587K
Forecast: 1K
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USD | JOLTS JOB OPENINGS (MAR)
Time: 17:00
Effects: High
Previously: 6.882M
Forecast: 6.870M
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USD | ISM NON-MANUFACTURING PRICES (APR)
Time: 17:00
Effects: High
Previously: 70.7
Forecast: —
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USD | ISM NON-MANUFACTURING PMI (APR)
Time: 17:00
Effects: High
Previously: 54.0
Forecast: 53.8
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GMT+3
Explore Results On SM NEWS
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🟥 U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia Jeanine Pirro on Sunday appeared to abandon a plan to appeal an adverse ruling in her attempts to criminally investigate Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Pirro has long said she planned to ask a higher court to review recent rulings by Chief Judge James Boasberg of the District of Columbia quashing her subpoenas to the Fed. She has argued that the judge’s decision makes it difficult for her to conduct grand jury investigations in general. Her appeal was due by Monday.
Pirro appeared to change tack in an appearance on CNN’s “State of the Union.”
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🟥 TRUMP ON TRUTH SOCIAL | I made the U.S.A. 45 Billion Dollars in 8 months!#WCTCTradingKingPK
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NO FED CUTS UNTIL 2027?
Barclays now sees the Fed on hold through 2026, with just one cut in March 2027 as inflation stays above 3% and oil prices remain elevated.
Markets are aligning: Kalshi odds of a cut before 2027 have fallen to ~45%.
Resilient growth + sticky inflation = higher-for-longer rates.#WCTCTradingKingPK
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A U.S. official said the rules of engagement for U.S. forces in the region have been changed, and they were authorized to strike immediate threats against ships that cross the strait, like IRGC fast boats or Iranian missile positions - Axios reporter.
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US Central Command says no US navy ships have been struck
We have have been bringing you rolling developments after Iran's Fars news agency said two missiles hit US warship in Strait of Hormuz.
Now, we are hearing from the U.S., contradicting Iranian reports.
U.S. Central Command said in a post on X that no U.S. Navy ships had been struck.
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UAE: Adnoc vessel hit by two Iranian drones in Hormuz.
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Iran's reports, citing an unnamed source: Aside from firing in the direction of U.S. warships, Tehran has prepared other scenarios that it will activate if necessary.
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🕯 MARKET REACTION Depending on the latest Situation:
Likely Market Direction (initial reaction)
⬇️GOLD: Bearish
Downside volatility favored
Possible flight-to-safety bids
⬇️ US30 / SPX500 / USNAS100: Bearish
Blockade + military escalation headlines are negative for equities.
US30: bearish bias
SPX500: downside pressure
USNAS100: likely weaker on risk-off sentiment
⬆️ OIL (WTI): Bullish
Hormuz / blockade risk = supply fears.
Oil likely spikes higher.
⬆️ USD / Treasuries: Likely supportive
Risk aversion may support dollar and bonds.
➡️My Read:
🟠Initial move: Gold ↓ Oil ↑ Indices ↓
🟠If de-esc
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Iran's Navy: Prevented the entry of US warships in the Strait of Hormuz area - State TV
#WCTCTradingKingPK #News
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Iran's new Hormuz ‘control zone’ stretches to Fujairah - Tasnim
#NewsToday
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🟥 LATEST - Two missiles hit a US warship near Jask Island after it ignored Iran's warnings - Iran's Fars News Agency#WCTCTradingKingPK
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🟥HORMUZ TENSIONS SPIKE
Iran warned the U.S. Navy to stay out of the Strait of Hormuz after Donald Trump said Washington would help free stranded ships, backing the move with military support.
Tehran threatened a “harsh” response, as a tanker was reportedly hit and thousands of seafarers remain stuck.
Nuclear talks are stalled, with Iran seeking an end to blockades before negotiations resume.
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Iran Urges Europe to Reject US Policies, Adopt Independent Stance
Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson emphasized that Tehran has always welcomed constructive engagement from European countries on regional security and nuclear issues.
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🟠Japan is seeking oil supplies from Kazakhstan.
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TREASURY YIELDS EDGE HIGHER AS TRADERS MONITOR FACTORY DATA AND MIDDLE EAST DEVELOPMENTS
🔺U.S. Treasury yields rose on Monday as traders awaited more data on U.S. factory activity and events in the Middle East continued to loom over borrowing costs.
🔺The 10-year Treasury yield — the benchmark for U.S. government borrowing — was more than 1 basis point higher in early trade, at 4.3979% by 5:10 a.m. E.T.
yields on the 2-year Treasury note, which are typically more sensitive to short-term Federal Reserve rate decisions, rose more than 2 basis points, reaching 3.9107%.
🔺Yields on the 30-year no
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ECB SPF sees inflation averaging 2.7% in 2026, 2.1% in 2027 and 2.0% in 2028.
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ECB SPF: 2026 GDP growth now seen at 1.0% vs 1.2% seen 3 months ago.
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