Currently, this sideways consolidation is essentially a breath during a decline, far from a reversal. Many people tend to mistake this technical pause for a bottom signal, but that's overthinking it.



Why is now not the bottom? Let's look at a few aspects.

**Trading volume is the most straightforward indicator.** A true bottom requires a clear increase in buying volume, but currently, trading volume continues to shrink. This only indicates that selling pressure has temporarily eased, with no active buying coming in. Such volume contraction during a downtrend usually signals further downside potential.

**Price structure has not been repaired.** The downward momentum starting around 3350 still dominates the market, and the 3100 level is just a technical support. To confirm a bottom, the price must at least break below and then hold above the key resistance at 3220. Currently, it can't even recover back above 3180, so talking about building a bottom is premature.

The market's true bottom typically requires two patterns: either a prolonged oscillation that erodes bullish confidence or a sharp decline that clears out leveraged longs. At present, this deadlock is likely to lead to another dip toward the 3050-3080 range.

**In terms of trading strategy, caution is still advised.** Don't try to catch the bottom on the left side. If you really want to add to long positions, wait for the price to break through the 3180-3200 zone with volume, and then pull back to test and hold above that level. Only then can it be considered a tentative right-side signal.

The current strategy is simple: once a rebound near 3170 shows signs of weakness, the downtrend is likely to continue. In a descending channel, every so-called "bottoming" pattern is often a trap—save your ammunition and wait until the price effectively tests the support strength.
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CommunityJanitorvip
· 16h ago
Decreased volume consolidation is just preparing for the next wave, don't be fooled. --- If 3180 can't be broken, stop calling for a bottom. Wake up, everyone. --- Most of the bottom-fishing on the left side are just weeds; waiting for the right-side signals is the real way. --- The most dangerous market is the one with no life; there's a high chance we'll see another wave of selling this time. --- Trading volume is the most honest indicator; any rebound without volume is fake. --- I really don't understand where the courage to add to long positions now comes from. --- Let's see if it hits 3050-3080; I feel there's a high probability of further downside this time. --- Another round of technical rebound; don't overthink it, just go with the flow. --- Wait for a volume breakout before making a move; right now, it's all traps. --- When the rebound weakens, continue to sell; there's no real bottom in a downtrend channel.
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GateUser-3824aa38vip
· 01-11 07:53
Trying to bottom out during a volume consolidation—these people really have no idea what they're doing... Let's wait for a breakout with increased volume.
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defi_detectivevip
· 01-11 07:47
Consolidation with decreasing volume during a decline is a death cross. Don't get fooled by a rebound, damn it.
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GasFeeCriervip
· 01-11 07:29
Low-volume stalemate is just a trick to fool you about the bottom; we're going to go down again to dig at 3050.
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SchrodingersFOMOvip
· 01-11 07:29
Shrinking volume consolidation just to catch the bottom, you need to change this mindset. --- If 3180 can't hold, stop bragging about a reversal. Wake up, everyone. --- All those trying to catch the bottom on the left side are cannon fodder, remember that. --- Wait until we effectively stabilize above 3200 before speaking; anything said now is pointless. --- This wave is just about clearing leverage; don't be fooled by fake rebounds. --- Volume is the most honest indicator; declining volume during a drop means further downside is expected. --- Adding positions in a dead market? Impossible. Preserving ammunition is the key. --- Every "bottom" is a trap; I've been fooled too many times. --- A true test is when it revisits 3050-3080; don't rush. --- When rebounding to 3170, be sure to assess clearly; if weakness appears, get out immediately.
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