比特币4月关键战役!跌破6.7万美元或下探5.2万美元,ETF与巨鲸信号转空

BTC1,95%

Gate News 消息,2026年4月临近,比特币走势来到关键分水岭。3月价格仅微涨0.19%,远低于历史平均水平,显示市场动能明显减弱。尽管过往数据显示4月通常表现强劲,但今年前两个月已打破季节性规律,使得单纯依赖历史周期的参考价值下降。

从技术结构来看,比特币自2025年10月高点回落后,当前走势呈现典型“熊旗”形态。价格正在测试关键趋势线,一旦有效跌破,或开启新一轮下行空间。短周期图表释放的信号偏向谨慎,为4月行情增添不确定性。

资金面同样出现分化。3月整体ETF净流入约11.3亿美元,看似恢复信心,但周度数据却明显走弱,月末转为约2.96亿美元净流出,显示资金动能衰减。同时,CryptoQuant数据显示交易所巨鲸比率升至0.79,表明大额持有者持续向市场输送筹码,潜在抛压加剧。

关键价格区间方面,67,000美元仍是多空争夺焦点。若连续跌破该水平,可能进一步测试61,500美元与60,000美元支撑区间。一旦失守,价格或延伸至57,000美元甚至52,600美元区域。

上行路径则依赖于重新站稳75,900美元。一旦突破该阻力,将削弱当前看跌结构,为市场提供反转契机。

在ETF资金趋弱与巨鲸行为偏空的背景下,比特币短期仍面临压力。4月走势或将决定2026年后续行情方向,市场正处于关键验证阶段。

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