2月26日消息，XRP价格自近期低点反弹约9%，在1.30美元附近形成有效支撑后，目前徘徊于1.46美元一线。本轮回升与加密市场同步走强有关，比特币重回6.8万美元上方，带动数字资产总市值升至约2.37万亿美元，市场风险偏好明显改善。
三天前，分析师Cypress Demanincor在XRP报1.34美元时提出，1.3475美元为关键日内买点，一旦守稳该区域，多头动能可能重新占优，并给出1.45美元至1.99美元的上行区间。当前价格已触及该目标下沿，验证了短期技术支撑的有效性。
从关键价位结构看，只要XRP维持在1.40美元上方，下一阻力集中于1.49美元至1.52美元区间。若放量突破这一密集抛压带，上方1.68美元将成为新的供应区，进一步突破后，2美元整数关口将重新进入视野。反之，一旦跌破1.40美元，价格可能回踩1.35美元附近支撑。
分析师CryptoInsightUK指出，1.50美元是趋势确认的重要门槛，若日线收盘稳定站上该水平，将显著增强上涨延续的概率。从技术指标来看，XRP已突破1.3820美元下降趋势线，并运行在100小时均线上方，MACD出现金叉，RSI接近70但尚未进入超买区，显示动能仍具延展空间。同时，24小时成交量增长至35.3亿美元，市场参与度持续升温。
链上数据同样释放积极信号。CUVD指标显示买单持续占优，分析师CW认为当前属于巨鲸主导的主动吸筹阶段。Bird的流动性模型进一步指出，上方堆积大量空头仓位，一旦价格继续上探，空头被迫回补可能触发连锁买盘，形成典型的空头挤压行情，理论上甚至存在冲击4.20美元的极端目标预期。
此外，机构层面也传来利好进展。SBI Ripple Asia与韩国DSRV Labs于2026年2月24日宣布合作研究，重点评估XRP账本在日本及韩国跨境支付场景中的应用潜力，这一消息为XRP长期叙事提供了新的基本面支撑。当前市场焦点仍集中在1.49-1.52美元阻力带的突破情况，这一区间或成为决定XRP价格趋势方向的核心分水岭。
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