2月24日消息,Strategy宣布增持比特币4000万美元,尽管当前市场对比特币价格预测偏悲观。该公司目前持有价值550亿美元的比特币,平均成本约为76,020美元,以比特币当前63,000美元的价格计算,未实现亏损接近100亿美元。执行董事长Michael Saylor表示,公司采取美元成本平均策略,对短期价格波动并不担忧。
近期,比特币受到地缘政治紧张、人工智能发展引发的经济不确定性以及特朗普政府政策变动的影响,价格连续下跌。CEX增长副总裁Matt Howells-Barby指出,短期内比特币可能跌至5万美元。DefiLlama数据显示,2月份投资者抛售超过10亿美元的比特币ETF,使自去年11月以来ETF跌幅累计达到70亿美元。CF Benchmark的数据显示,主要对冲基金在第三季度和第四季度间减持了28%的比特币ETF。
除了贸易紧张局势,Citrini Research发布的《2028年全球智能危机》报告引发市场动荡。报告警告称,人工智能的发展可能导致大规模白领裁员,削弱消费者支出并拖慢经济增长。报告发布后,股市下跌,道琼斯指数单日暴跌逾800点,IBM股价创下25年来最大单日跌幅。科技ETF整体下跌24%,标普500在预测情景中可能暴跌38%。
然而,部分分析师认为,人工智能对就业市场的冲击最终可能利好比特币。Maelstrom首席投资官亚瑟·海耶斯指出,失业导致债务压力加剧,美联储可能被迫宽松货币政策,届时比特币价格有望迎来上涨机会。
市场情绪复杂且波动加剧,Strategy增持比特币的举动显示机构仍在布局长期价值,而价格是否会反弹至5万美元,将取决于地缘政治、人工智能发展及宏观政策的综合影响。
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