#比特币价格预测 Yi Lihua's move this time is indeed worth analyzing carefully—645,000 ETH, average price of $3,150, unrealized loss of $143 million. This isn't emotional trading; it's real money demonstrating what "trend conviction" truly means.

The key is his confession about 3/12 that struck a nerve with many people. Being forced to cut losses at $7,000-$8,000 and then watching Bitcoin surge to $69,000 was painful—it wasn't just missing out on tens of thousands in gains; it was a lifetime regret about their own decision-making. The logic this time is crystal clear: if 2026 is expected to be a major bull market, and they've already successfully exited at the top in 10/11 to lock in profits, then current volatility isn't worth being scared of.

However, there's a critical question about following this strategy that you need to think through: **Is 2x leveraged borrowing the right move for you to copy?**

Institutional-level risk tolerance is worlds apart from retail traders. Yi Lihua's team has research support, capital reserves, and exit strategies—a $143 million unrealized loss is just part of their long-term position accumulation process. But if you're betting your only capital while following with leverage, when the market dips once more, your psychological defense will crumble faster than your account.

My suggestion: You can validate his bottom-call judgment and bull market outlook, but do subtraction in capital allocation. Consider following this direction with no leverage or minimal leverage, keeping enough liquidity for extreme scenarios. The trend may be right, but surviving to see that day matters far more than chasing yield.