#2026年比特币价格展望 coin circle survivors never rely on luck

I've seen too many people disappear after doing crypto for two or three years. The reasons are always the same few things: chasing pumps and panic selling, losing position control, refusing to cut losses. On the flip side, those who've made it through steadily—their account numbers speak for themselves.

I started as a retail trader too, with just a few thousand dollars in capital initially. Now my account is at the 50 million level, and it has nothing to do with special talent—just a trading framework that I've continuously tested and refined.

Breaking it down, there are roughly three stages:

**Early stage: Using 1000U to make 5 trades**

Each trade is 200U, only on coins I genuinely understand. $BTC and similar mainstream assets are the first choice. Most critically, every single trade needs a stop-loss and take-profit level. Accept losses immediately when wrong, never try to tough it out.

Honestly, at this stage you make and lose small amounts. What you're really training is two things—psychological resilience and execution discipline. Many people fail here; they blow up before they even learn discipline by going all-in gambling.

**Mid stage: After the account grows to five figures**

Scale each trade to about a quarter of total capital. When trending favorably, add in batches, don't greed for the tops and bottoms—just capture the most certain profits in the middle. $ETH tends to generate fairly stable returns at this stage.

Your mindset needs to shift here—from "making quick money" to "making steady money." Once accounts get bigger, one mistake can wipe out months of gains, so batch building and batch closing positions become absolutely critical.

**Late stage: Handling accounts above 200k**

Withdraw a portion of profits weekly, no matter how attractive the market is. Seems conservative, but the core purpose is to prevent yourself from getting cocky after making money, thinking you're unstoppable. Things go wrong most when you're making the most money in crypto. Keeping your mindset stable is worth more than anything.

Why do some people crash on $PEPE and similar assets? Three root causes: unplanned position sizing, failing to cut losses, or getting the direction right but losing everything by stubbornly holding against the market.

There are cautionary tales, but there are also success stories. I had a friend start with 1900U and follow this framework for over a year. When he withdrew recently, it had grown to 23,000U. Watching him go from losses to stable profits felt even more solid than when I make money myself.

The truth about crypto is this brutal—people wanting overnight riches mostly die halfway. Those who endure hardship and maintain discipline just keep getting steadier.