#ETH走势分析 In 2021, I entered the crypto market with 100,000 yuan. Everyone around me said I was crazy and just throwing money away. They were half right—in the first year, I lost so much that I was left with only 20,000. At that time, I also thought this whole thing was a scam.

The turning point came when I realized one fact: it wasn’t the market screwing me over, it was my own lack of discipline. After that, I spent more than half a year drilling trading discipline into myself, and after three years my account broke the million mark. Looking back now, those who call this a casino just haven’t found the right way to play.

My current strategy is simple: four inviolable rules.

First, never put all your eggs in one basket. I used to make the stupid mistake of going all-in on altcoins, only to wake up and see my assets evaporate. Now, I keep 60% of my money in BTC and ETH for the long term, 30% for swing trading to catch the rhythm, and 10% in cash to wait for opportunities. During last year's 3/12 crash, it was this 10% that let me buy the dip and triple my money.

Second, cut your losses as soon as you hit your stop-loss line. If any position loses 10%, I close it immediately—no wishful thinking about breaking even. Once, I lost 15% on LTC and couldn’t bring myself to sell, and then watched it drop 90%. Since then, I’ve been firm: I’ll take at most a 20% loss, and if I add to a losing position, it’ll only be half. Holding onto losing trades is the start of getting deep in the hole.

Third, only touch mainstream coins and stay away from sketchy projects. I’ve seen too many people put hundreds of thousands into unknown coins, only for the project team to run off and leave them with nothing. I stick to BTC and ETH, selling off in batches when the bull market rises 30%, and buying in batches when the bear market drops 20%. Occasionally, I’ll try a small position in a trusted altcoin, but never get carried away.

Fourth, follow the trend, don’t fight it. In a bull market, if BTC holds above the 200-day moving average, I buy the dips; in a bear market, if it falls below that line, I go to cash and wait. At the end of last year, when BTC broke below that line, I closed all positions and avoided a 50% drop; this year, when it stabilized above the line, I jumped back in and caught the rebound.

Turning 100,000 into a million in three years wasn’t luck—it was discipline, a system, and execution. The crypto market isn’t a casino, it’s a battlefield, and the winners are the ones who follow the rules. If you’re still chasing pumps and panicking over losses, remember this: making money takes discipline, not luck.