#美联储重启降息步伐 "When Good News Becomes a Trap—This Market May Not Be What You Think"

Is the 25 basis point rate cut about to drop?
Don’t celebrate too soon.
The market already priced in this “surprise” the day the rumors started circulating.
Balance sheet reduction ending on December 1? The price has already reflected it.

The real question keeping people up at night is:
Will there be more cuts? Will the cut be smaller? Will the pace slow down?

Think back to what happened in September—
The day the policy was announced, BTC took a big red candle that crushed bullish sentiment.
The script may not play out exactly the same, but market memory is eerily similar.

Look at BTC and ETH over the past two days:
Continuous pumps grabbed everyone’s attention, then they quietly started to pull back.
This “pump-then-drop” pattern feels just like that stifling heat before a storm.

This isn’t a turning point, it’s a transition period.
Bulls and bears are rotating, sentiment is digesting, data is closing in…
All the signs are hinting at the same thing:
The most dangerous moment is never the bad news itself, but the absence of new good news after the old good news is realized.

This market only believes in one thing:
Buy the rumor, sell the news.

Expectations are sky-high, the facts are about to be revealed—
If the result falls short of market fantasies, the stampede will come quicker than you think;
But if it exceeds expectations? The coins set to fly won’t hold back.

Starting tonight, we’re walking a razor’s edge:
The cautious will stay lightly invested and wait, the aggressive will position themselves for opportunities,
But the worst off are those who haven’t prepared and try to jump in at the last minute.

There’s an old saying that nails it:
You don’t profit by understanding the trend, you profit by positioning yourself ahead of it.

For the next 48 hours, there’s only one thing you need to do—
Wait.