A major signal is coming from the market: According to data from prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December has surged to 94%, with related trading volume reaching $260 million. This is almost a sure thing.

What does this mean for the crypto market? Simply put, rate cuts mean loosening up the market. When liquidity becomes more abundant, capital naturally seeks high-return assets. Mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum often become the primary pools for this inflow of funds. Historically, every time a rate-cutting cycle begins, market sentiment usually gets a boost, and we often see Bitcoin lead sector rotations.

But let’s stay calm and think about two real issues:

First, expectations have long been priced in. Jumping in now might mean buying at a short-term high. When the good news actually lands, it could trigger profit-taking and lead to even more intense short-term volatility.

Second, if you really believe in this cycle, holding spot positions steadily is more important than anything else. Don’t get scared off by intraday swings, and don’t try to gamble on direction with leverage—crypto’s sudden wicks can wipe you out right before the dawn. The mid-to-long-term logic hasn’t changed: hold on to your chips and wait for the trend to truly unfold.

The news is explosive, but you need to operate with a cool head. Keep your eye on the official decision, manage your positions carefully, and don’t let your emotions throw off your rhythm.