The Fed is restarting rate cuts, and it's time for the crypto market to get serious about technical analysis again.
Today, let's decode Bitcoin's price secrets—from the historic low in 2018 all the way to 2028. We'll use just two straightforward tools: volume peak lines and star lines. Don't dismiss them as old-fashioned; the simpler something is, the more it reveals the essence.
Why go back so far to dig up old stories? The answer is simple: you can't erase the footprints of the whales. Those key price levels and massive trading volumes are marks left by real money. Following these clues lets you do three things: 1. Identify truly important price support/resistance 2. Project the time windows for star line resonance 3. Create a closed-loop verification between historical prices and future expectations
**There's always only one truth in the market: the chart**
I've always held one view—don't get swayed by all those flashy headlines. Retail investors panic-sell, whales accumulate, retail investors buy in, whales unload—the same logic that's been playing out for hundreds of years.
The core of investing is to grasp the most fundamental things. Don't blindly trust any so-called "expert," and don't follow anyone else's judgment. The chart speaks for itself; price doesn't lie.
**How did the three-wave structure of the 2021 bull market play out?**
First wave: After topping out, it was clear whales started selling, followed by a long period of slow decline. Then came March 12, 2020—the global panic (remember, when Bitcoin halved in a single day), and the market completely collapsed, with retail investors fleeing in droves.
That's when something magical happened—the bottom of the second wave saw a massive surge in volume. What does that mean? The trading volume at the bottom actually exceeded that of the top. This means whales were buying aggressively. When bottom volume exceeds top volume, the future looks bright.
And then? The market kicked off a violent rally...
(All data here is based on actual historical prices; 3156 was a key Bitcoin low in December 2018, and the "312 event" refers to the iconic market crash day in crypto on March 12, 2020)
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RetiredMiner
· 12-06 17:12
I’ve been bored with this whole peak-line and star-line setup for ages, had to go all the way back to 2018—really must have too much free time.
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Don’t make it so complicated, the chart is right there. If you can’t read it, you just can’t—no amount of tools will help.
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Back on 3/12, I sold right at the bottom. Seeing articles like this just pisses me off. Don’t tell me about “whale footprints”—retail traders are just doomed like that.
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Here we go again with the “history doesn’t lie” stuff. If you ask me, history has fooled me plenty of times.
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You’re not wrong, but hearing it is just annoying. No matter how you trade, it’s always the retail traders who get wrecked.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropChaser
· 12-05 16:51
Peak volume line + star line? Sounds good, but the key is whether retail investors have a clear head when it's time to take over.
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That 312 dip was indeed a perfect buying opportunity. Unfortunately, most people got scared and sold off at the time. I guess that's the fate of retail traders.
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Talking about how the price action never lies again, but why do I always end up on the wrong side of the trade when I follow it? Hilarious.
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Now that the rate-cutting cycle is here, the big players should be making moves. I'm optimistic about the upcoming rhythm, but I still think news hype is more effective at fooling people than technical analysis.
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3156 has almost multiplied several times since then. The logic this time sounds clear—finally, an analysis that isn't complete nonsense.
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I've heard the theory that bottom volume exceeds top volume countless times. I just want to know what the real hit rate actually is.
View OriginalReply0
CryptoTarotReader
· 12-05 16:44
The peak volume and star volume pattern is back again. The 312 wave was indeed a buy signal, and the logic that the bottom volume is greater than the top volume is spot on.
View OriginalReply0
LuckyBlindCat
· 12-05 16:29
The whole "peak volume and star line" thing sounds impressive, but in reality, it's just hindsight analysis. If anyone could truly predict it, they'd already be financially free.
The Fed is restarting rate cuts, and it's time for the crypto market to get serious about technical analysis again.
Today, let's decode Bitcoin's price secrets—from the historic low in 2018 all the way to 2028. We'll use just two straightforward tools: volume peak lines and star lines. Don't dismiss them as old-fashioned; the simpler something is, the more it reveals the essence.
Why go back so far to dig up old stories? The answer is simple: you can't erase the footprints of the whales. Those key price levels and massive trading volumes are marks left by real money. Following these clues lets you do three things:
1. Identify truly important price support/resistance
2. Project the time windows for star line resonance
3. Create a closed-loop verification between historical prices and future expectations
**There's always only one truth in the market: the chart**
I've always held one view—don't get swayed by all those flashy headlines. Retail investors panic-sell, whales accumulate, retail investors buy in, whales unload—the same logic that's been playing out for hundreds of years.
The core of investing is to grasp the most fundamental things. Don't blindly trust any so-called "expert," and don't follow anyone else's judgment. The chart speaks for itself; price doesn't lie.
**How did the three-wave structure of the 2021 bull market play out?**
First wave: After topping out, it was clear whales started selling, followed by a long period of slow decline. Then came March 12, 2020—the global panic (remember, when Bitcoin halved in a single day), and the market completely collapsed, with retail investors fleeing in droves.
That's when something magical happened—the bottom of the second wave saw a massive surge in volume. What does that mean? The trading volume at the bottom actually exceeded that of the top. This means whales were buying aggressively. When bottom volume exceeds top volume, the future looks bright.
And then? The market kicked off a violent rally...
(All data here is based on actual historical prices; 3156 was a key Bitcoin low in December 2018, and the "312 event" refers to the iconic market crash day in crypto on March 12, 2020)