JOHAR09

[Ended] Market Analysis

[Ended] Market Analysis

🚨 Market Update | February 19
BTC: ~$66,900
ETH: ~$1,980
The crypto market continues to move within a consolidation range as volatility remains active.
🔹 Bitcoin (BTC)
BTC is trading around the $67K region, maintaining short-term balance after recent fluctuations.
Price action reflects cautious positioning rather than aggressive expansion.
🔹 Ethereum (ETH)
ETH is hovering just below the $2,000 psychological level.
Market structure remains neutral, with participants monitoring reactions around key zones.
🔹 Market Conditions
• Volatility elevated
• Liquidity selective
• Short-term reactions dominating
• No confirmed directional breakout
──────────
🧠 Market Note
In consolidation phases, patience and structure matter more than speed.
—
$BTC $BTC $GT
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #MarketUpdate

#VitalikSellsETH $ETH
📉 #VitalikSatıyorETH — Is It Real or Perception, What Is It Telling?
News that "Vitalik is selling" generally triggers psychological reactions in the market because Vitalik's on-chain movements as the founder of Ethereum are often misinterpreted by many investors.
Let's be clear first: an ETH withdrawal from an address does not necessarily mean a sale. But the market often interprets this as unexpected selling pressure, affecting prices.
🧠 1. Signal + Context Separation
When there is ETH flow from Vitalik’s wallet, the market assumes three things:
1️⃣ Individual sale — “Founder is selling, trend is weak!”
2️⃣ Operational transfer — donations, taxation, risk management
3️⃣ Strategic portfolio adjustment — shifting to different assets
📌 Important:
Actual selling pressure is measured by the amount of ETH entering exchanges.
On-chain transfer ≠/ direct sale.
📊 2. Market Reaction
Markets are psychological:
Automatic trigger data like “If Vitalik sells, the trend breaks.”
Such news increases volatility in the short term.
However, in the medium to long term, the price structure is more important.
That is:
👉 News + fear = sudden drop
👉 As long as the price structure remains intact, the trend can continue
🔍 3. Technical Perspective
Looking at the ETH chart:
Selling momentum is not confirmed unless strong support is broken.
Rebound buys should be supported by volume.
Sell signals usually come with a breakdown below support + volume + RSI decline.
In the short term, news can have an impact,
but in the medium term, the trend is confirmed by the structure.
🔁 4. Other Factors
📌 Exchange entry volume
📌 Behavior of top ETH whales
📌 ETH staking / interest offer balance
📌 Macro risk appetite
All these factors together determine price behavior.
🧩 5. Strategic Position
So, what should you do when such news comes out?
✔ Instead of opening positions with panic sales derived from this:
→ Check main support and resistance levels
→ Confirm with volume
→ Verify with on-chain data
Staying in control of risk is important:
Risk management > News reflex
📌 6. Clear Perspective
An exit from a founder address:
🔹 Does not necessarily mean a price drop
🔹 Is not a trend reversal signal
🔹 But it can trigger volatility
In the true directional price structure,
it appears in volume and liquidity distribution.
Conclusion
#VitalikSatıyorETH
This headline can currently trigger panic.
But it is not a structural trend signal.
To see a trend change:
✔ Close below support
✔ Breakout with volume
✔ Price movement in liquidity gaps
are needed.
💬 When you saw this news, what did you do?
Did you reduce your position?
Or did you just think it was noise?
👇 Share your perspective in the comments!

Risk Appetite Rebounds? U.S. Stocks Rise, Hong Kong ADRs Up 35 Points
After weeks of market jitters, signs of rebounding risk appetite emerged on February 23, 2026, as U.S. stocks closed higher and Hong Kong-listed American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) surged by 35 points. The S&P 500 gained 1.2%, driven by tech and consumer discretionary sectors, while the Nasdaq rose 1.5%, buoyed by AI-related stocks like Nvidia and Meta.
This uptick comes amid mixed economic signals: robust job data contrasted with lingering inflation concerns. Investors appear to be betting on a soft landing, with the Federal Reserve hinting at potential rate cuts later in the year. "The fear from last month's sell-off is fading as earnings reports exceed expectations," said a strategist at Goldman Sachs.
Hong Kong ADRs, which track U.S.-listed Chinese firms like Alibaba and Tencent, jumped 35 points, reflecting optimism over eased U.S.-China trade tensions or stimulus from Beijing. Despite ongoing regulatory scrutiny in China, bargain hunters are piling in, viewing the dip as a buying opportunity.
However, not all are convinced this is a sustained rebound. Volatility remains high, with the VIX index still above 20. Geopolitical risks, including tariffs and elections in Europe, could derail the momentum. For now, though, the rise suggests investors are regaining confidence, potentially signaling the end of the recent correction phase.
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BTC at 70K — Reversal or Short-Term Rebound?
Bitcoin approached 70k again on February 26, 2026, after a rough correction that took it down to the low 60k range earlier in the week. The move was sharp—gains of 6-10% in a single day at points, marking one of the strongest sessions recently. From roughly 64k lows, the rally was fueled by short liquidations, steady inflows, and spillover optimism from strong earnings reports in tech and stablecoin issuers.
Is this the start of a true reversal, or just a temporary bounce in an ongoing correction? The broader context shows Bitcoin had been in a painful drawdown from its 2025 highs above 126k, losing nearly half its value and dragging the total market cap down significantly. Sentiment had turned extremely bearish. This rebound feels like classic relief: millions in shorts got liquidated, adding fuel, while fresh buying interest emerged.
On the technical side, support around 64-65k held firm, and we're now testing resistance near 70k. A clean close above 68k could open the path toward 72k or beyond. However, risks are still present—dominance remains elevated, many altcoins are lagging, and external factors like policy changes or regulatory developments could shift momentum quickly.
From watching multiple cycles, this looks more like a strong short-term rebound than a confirmed new bull leg. Structural demand is rebuilding through consistent accumulation, but volume and open interest aren't yet screaming sustainable upside. Overbought signals are appearing on shorter timeframes, so caution is warranted.
If we hold above 67-68k and break 70k decisively, it could evolve into something bigger. Otherwise, we might see more range-bound trading or even a retest of lower levels. For long-term believers, dips during this move could still be attractive, but chasing the top on euphoria is risky.
Where do you see Bitcoin heading in the coming days? Let's hear your views!
#CryptoMarketRebounds

In This Setup, Which Coins Are You Accumulating?
With the market showing life again—Bitcoin nearing
70k and major altcoins like ETH and SOL posting double-digit gains in recent sessions—it's a natural time to think about what to build positions in. The pause in routine selling pressure, combined with positive earnings momentum from tech giants and growing stablecoin adoption, has lifted overall risk appetite.
In this environment, I'm leaning toward coins with solid fundamentals and real momentum. ETH stands out—it's showing relative strength compared to Bitcoin, benefiting from increased activity in smart contracts, Layer 2 scaling, and steady institutional interest. Accumulating on pullbacks around current levels feels reasonable if key supports hold.
SOL is another one catching attention—it's bounced sharply, with its ecosystem continuing to attract developers and users in DeFi and other high-throughput applications. Despite past challenges, the speed and low costs keep it competitive, and total value locked is trending upward again. If the broader rally sustains, it has room to outperform.
Beyond the majors, I'm watching areas tied to real utility growth, like projects benefiting from stablecoin expansion or AI-related blockchain use cases, but only on dips and with small allocations. Pure speculation plays are riskier right now—better to focus on quality over hype.
My approach: dollar-cost average into the stronger names, keep a portion in stable assets for flexibility, and avoid going all-in on rebound excitement. Risk management remains key in any setup.
Which coins are you adding to in this bounce? ETH, SOL, or something different? Drop your picks and reasoning below!
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Gate Technology Ltd, the Malta-based subsidiary of the leading cryptocurrency exchange Gate.io, has officially secured a **Payment Institution (PI) license** under the European Union's **Second Payment Services Directive (PSD2)** from the **Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA)**. The milestone was announced on **February 26, 2026**, positioning Gate as one of the few crypto-native companies in Europe to achieve this level of regulatory approval.
What the PSD2 License Means
The PSD2 framework regulates payment services across the EU, enabling licensed entities to offer services such as electronic money transfers, payment account management, and execution of payment transactions. For Gate, this license complements its previously obtained full **MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets)** license in Malta, which already authorizes exchange and custody services.
Key benefits include:
- **Passporting rights** — Gate can now expand its regulated payment services across all 27 EU member states without needing separate approvals in each country.
- Strengthened integration of fiat and stablecoin payments, creating a seamless bridge between traditional finance (TradFi) and Web3.
- Enhanced support for compliant stablecoin infrastructure, allowing faster, more secure on-ramps/off-ramps and everyday digital asset usage within the EU.
This dual licensing (MiCA + PSD2) gives Gate a powerful regulatory foundation in one of Europe's most crypto-friendly jurisdictions—Malta—while aligning with the bloc's broader push for transparent and secure digital finance.
Executive Commentary
Giovanni Cunti, CEO of Gate Technology Ltd, stated:
> "We are proud to have secured this Payment Institution license. It positions Gate to build a secure, scalable bridge between traditional finance and Web3, delivering compliant payment solutions to clients across Europe. This accomplishment is the result of our team's dedication and marks a critical step in aligning with MiCA's regulatory framework."
He emphasized that the license provides regulatory certainty and protection for both institutional and retail users in Europe's evolving digital asset market.
Broader Strategic Context
Gate's move is part of a wider global compliance strategy. The company holds licenses or authorizations in multiple jurisdictions, including Cyprus, the Bahamas, Japan, Australia, and Dubai. Malta has proven to be a strategic European hub due to its forward-looking yet rigorous regulatory environment.
By combining PSD2 payment capabilities with MiCA-compliant exchange and custody services, Gate is well-positioned to:
- Accelerate the mainstream adoption of stablecoins for real-world payments.
- Offer institutional-grade, transparent services that meet traditional finance standards.
- Compete more effectively in the rapidly maturing European crypto landscape.
Implications for the Crypto Industry
This development highlights the ongoing maturation of the cryptocurrency sector. As major platforms secure banking-like licenses, the line between crypto exchanges and traditional financial institutions continues to blur. For users, it translates to greater trust, security, and accessibility—especially in cross-border and stablecoin-based transactions.
Gate's achievement reinforces a clear message: regulatory compliance is no longer optional but a competitive advantage in building long-term, scalable Web3 infrastructure. With stablecoin usage poised for explosive growth in Europe under the MiCA framework, Gate is placing itself at the forefront of this transformation.
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Policy: Andreessen Horowitz Execs Engage GOP Senators on Crypto Market Structure Legislation
Executives from Andreessen Horowitz held discussions with Republican senators to push forward crypto market structure bills, emphasizing the importance of clear regulations to support innovation and U.S. competitiveness.
The conversations centered on frameworks like the CLARITY Act, which propose dividing oversight duties between agencies to reduce ambiguity for exchanges, developers, and participants.
Participants highlighted how well-defined rules could accelerate growth in crypto and intersecting fields like AI, while maintaining consumer protections.
This advocacy comes as bipartisan momentum builds around legislation that provides certainty without stifling development. A balanced bill could encourage more institutional entry, enhance liquidity, and lower compliance risks. The meetings included briefings on global competition and the need for the U.S. to lead in blockchain tech.
Positive policy steps often boost market confidence and contribute to rallies by signaling reduced uncertainty. If these efforts advance—through committee progress or votes—it could provide tailwinds for majors and alts alike. The timeline is ongoing, but sustained engagement keeps the topic prominent.
Regulatory clarity remains a key driver for long-term adoption. How much weight do you give U.S. legislation in your market outlook? Share below.
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Market: Bitcoin and Majors Rally as Jane Street "10 a.m. Sell-Off" Rumor Takes a Break
Bitcoin and leading cryptocurrencies surged in the latest session, with BTC approaching 70k and adding substantial market value. The rally featured short liquidations, renewed buying interest, and a shift to positive sentiment.
A notable observation is the apparent halt in the much-discussed "10 a.m." sell-off pattern. Traders had observed consistent pressure around that time window for an extended period, potentially linked to liquidity dynamics or large participant activity. Recent scrutiny involving a prominent trading firm coincided with the pattern stopping, allowing prices to hold or climb through the usual dip zone.
While causation is debated—factors like short squeezes, steady inflows, and strong earnings from tech and finance sectors also drove momentum—the absence of routine selling helped extend the gains. Majors like ETH and SOL posted solid double-digit increases, making the move feel widespread.
This development highlights how microstructure elements can shape short-term price behavior. Cleaner trading periods in bullish setups amplify upside potential. With fundamentals supportive and institutional demand rebuilding, the rally has room if momentum persists.
Watch whether the pattern stays paused or returns. In the meantime, focus on risk management and quality positions during volatility.
What stands out to you in the recent rally? Let's hear your analysis.
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Is Altcoin Season Really Coming in 2026? Comparison with Past Cycles
Hello Gate Square friends, I've been in crypto for 5 years now. I jumped into the sector right in the middle of the 2021 bull run, and since then I've both made money and gotten badly burned. 😅 I'm no longer a "newbie," but I still learn something new every day. In this post, using the current market (early February 2026) as a base, I'll explain whether altcoin season is actually here or not, while comparing it to past cycles. Maybe you can avoid some of the pits I fell into.
First, let's recall: When did altcoin season explode in 2021? When BTC dominance dropped from the ~70% range down to ~40%, money started flowing into altcoins. It happened around the ETH Merge buildup, during DeFi summer, and the NFT craze. Altseason usually arrives when BTC is consolidating or making a mild correction. BTC hits a new ATH, then goes sideways, dominance falls — boom, money flows to alts.
Now let's look at 2026. BTC ETFs came online in 2024-2025, institutional money poured in, and BTC reached 100k+ levels (maybe even higher). Right now, is dominance still high? (When I was writing this, it was floating around 55-60%, I think — you can check the current figure.) My observation: By the end of 2025, BTC stabilized, but altcoins are slowly starting to move. After ETH's spot ETF approval, the ETH/BTC ratio is rising — that's a classic sign. In my portfolio right now, I have ~40% BTC/ETH and 60% altcoins — it used to be the complete opposite.
Let me compare with past cycles:
2017-2018: ICO mania, led by ETH. But regulations hit suddenly and everything collapsed.
2021: DeFi + NFTs + meme coins. Whales entered early and pumped, retail jumped in with FOMO — classic rug pulls multiplied.
Now in 2025-2026: Much more institutional, much less hype. Restaking, AI+blockchain projects, RWAs (real world assets), etc. are the hot topics. Some of my favorites include restaking protocols similar to EigenLayer, or new DePIN projects in the Solana ecosystem. But be careful: Meme coins are still around, but they're not pumping like before — utility coins are taking the lead this cycle.
What has my strategy been over these 5 years?
Track dominance. When it drops below 50%, I start weighting more toward altcoins.
I watch whale movements (Whale Alert, Arkham Intelligence, etc.). Big transfers often signal bottoms or pumps.
DCA but smart: Not fixed USDT every month — I buy more at dips.
Risk management: Never put all my money into one coin. Max 10-15% per project.
I no longer sell emotionally. The coins I panic-sold in the 2022 bear market are now up 10x — that pain is still in my soul.
So what do I expect in 2026? I think altseason has lightly started, but the real explosion will come once BTC breaks the 120-150k range and then consolidates. If ETH reaches 8-10k, alts will go crazy. But regulatory risk is high (Trump-era policies, SEC, etc.), so I always keep some cash in stablecoins.
What do you guys think? Which altcoins are you positioned in right now? Have you noticed any dominance drop? Share in the comments, let's discuss together. Maybe we'll catch the next 10x as a group.
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Geopolitical Storms in the Crypto Market: Why Is Bitcoin Crashing So Hard?
These past few days the crypto market has been completely turned upside down. Everyone is talking about why Bitcoin dropped so sharply, so I decided to dig a little deeper into it. It’s February 2026 right now and Bitcoin has fallen all the way back to around $64,000, while Ethereum is hovering near $1,800. I don’t think this is just normal market volatility — the real driver seems to be geopolitical tensions, especially Trump’s policies. It really shows how fragile crypto still is, but at the same time it’s creating some interesting opportunities.
First let’s talk about Trump’s tariffs. Last week the Supreme Court struck down some of his earlier trade taxes, but the guy doesn’t stop. On Saturday he posted on social media that he’s going to slap an extra 15% tariff on foreign trade partners — and the market felt it immediately. This kind of move shakes the whole global economy. Investors are running away from risky assets and piling into safe ones like gold, the dollar or just cash. Bitcoin and other “risk-on” stuff gets hit hard. I felt it in my own portfolio — positions just melted. But when you think about it, it makes sense: these tariffs hurt trade with China and Europe, trading volumes drop, stablecoin flows slow down, everything gets affected.
Then there’s the Iran situation in the Middle East. Trump basically said “last 10 days” for a possible military move against Iran, troops are building up in the region, the nuclear deal is in crisis again, and oil prices are spiking. Why does crypto care? Because in times of big uncertainty everyone wants cash or safe assets. Remember 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine? Bitcoin dropped over 20% in no time. Now in 2026 we’re seeing a similar story, except this time Trump’s more aggressive stance is making it hit even harder. On the bright side, regulation is moving in a slightly better direction under the new SEC leadership some big cases got dropped, pressure on exchanges eased a bit but it’s still not enough to lift the market mood right now.
Altcoins aren’t doing any better. Some projects are rolling out speed upgrades and improvements, but when the whole market is bleeding they all suffer together. This week we’ve also had several big token unlocks millions of dollars worth of tokens hitting the market, adding even more selling pressure and pushing prices lower. In my opinion these unlocks hurt short-term but help liquidity in the long run. Projects like Ripple are still building real blockchain infrastructure for financial services, but right now the overall sentiment is so bad that nothing seems to stick.
So what should we do? I think these levels could actually be a buying opportunity. Bitcoin making deep dips during geopolitical crises isn’t new history keeps repeating itself. Crises usually pass. On the regulatory side things are slowly improving, there’s even some bipartisan momentum in Congress. AI integrations in payments and other areas are picking up speed too, which is exciting. Personally I plan to keep accumulating a bit more, but carefully no crazy moves. The crypto space is still super thrilling, it just requires patience.
No one really knows how far this drop will go, but right now everyone is waiting for Trump’s upcoming speech to Congress. Maybe we’ll get a surprise spark from there, who knows? What do you guys think
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