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Regarding whether we can fill the gap above 2600, similar to how we had expectations for 3400 to 3600 but missed the big move, I can only say it's possible, but the probability is too low. We'll keep our positions and split them accordingly, being prepared for this top without betting on it.
When splitting positions to catch the pullback, if we see a breakthrough, we can basically protect most of our capital through partial losses and then probe higher tops. Even if we're temporarily caught in a position where we can't break even, we'll still control our position size to keep ourselves in a safe liquidation zone, preparing for all possible market scenarios.
Since the macroeconomic factors driving the bear market continue to exist, subjectively we need to construct a bull market trap to attract everyone's expectations and excitement for a bull market. The massive liquidity demand below is what will show the decline for the new year, until we create a new low at 1500. This phase will be quite prolonged.
We can anticipate shorting at 2600, but we won't go long just because it might reach 2600.