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Decline. Livermore: March 17 Review Record
Simply put, today’s market situation. [Taogu Ba]
It’s good that the market can rotate, but now it’s basically no longer rotating, and it has started to decline gradually. A declining market is completely unavoidable. At this point, it’s just a matter of waiting for a rebound after a large-scale decline. If there is no rebound tomorrow, it will be the time to build positions and add to holdings. Tomorrow’s time window is for increasing positions. Today, my holdings have also retraced about 1.5%. I have to say, the current market is somewhat challenging. Overall market sentiment is insufficient, the atmosphere is not good, and funds that are bullish are not entering the market. So, we need to be cautious.
Themes are unable to break out, and the tech sector has basically shut down, with widespread significant capital outflows and clear signs of funds leaving. Until the market atmosphere improves, the market will continue to fluctuate. Currently, there is no obvious appearance of a bear trend; it is still a cooling-off phase, a self-driven cooling market. The financial sector still acts as a support today; otherwise, the Shanghai Composite Index would be similar to the Shenzhen Component Index.
My current approach is to observe whether there are any signs of stabilization tomorrow. If signs of stabilization appear, it indicates that the timing window is fine, and I will start adding positions to look for a rebound. If there are no signs of stabilization tomorrow, I should cut losses at this level and not linger. After a period of accelerated decline, I will re-enter the market to participate.