[Red envelope] Main trend basically confirmed! How to improve when account is always a roller coaster?

Hello everyone, I am Xiaoxin. My trading system can be summarized with words like “timing, main theme, leading stocks, low frequency,” which is the Long Kong Long model. [Taogu Ba]
Follow me, and let’s catch the leading stocks together. If there are true leaders in the market that I haven’t shared, just unfollow!

1. Leading Stock Practical Trading Analysis

Today’s pre-market plan:

1. Shun Na Shares: Bought during yesterday’s bidding, sold after failing to break the limit in the afternoon today.

Trading logic:
(1) From the perspective of thematic speculation: Last Wednesday, the power sector started, showing good continuity, and was renamed “Power Computing Collaboration.” Shun Na Shares’ first limit-up last Wednesday was triggered by theme resonance, followed by two straight limit-ups, becoming the leading stock of the “Power Computing Collaboration” theme.
(2) From the fundamentals: The company actively participates in global data center construction, providing transformers, switchgear, and other products for data center projects; it is Schneider’s only transformer joint venture in China, with the advantage of handling global AIDC transformer orders. The company has supplied over 5,000 sets of power transmission and distribution equipment to clients like Qinhuai Data, Alibaba, and GDS, with Qinhuai Data being ByteDance’s main computing power service provider.
(3) From the technical aspect: The first limit-up resonated with the power theme, with 2nd and 3rd limit-ups forming the leading trend, and the 4th limit-up opening with a quick second limit-up. Although there was a high-volume divergence and a break in the trend on Tuesday, the stock held up well. On Wednesday, it opened high with weak-to-strong transition after a high-volume bid, a classic weak-to-strong buy point for leaders.
(4) Operation logic: On Tuesday, a high-volume divergence with a first negative day; on Wednesday, a high-volume bid of 269 million, opening just above Tuesday’s limit-up price—an ideal weak-to-strong buy point for leaders. Today’s afternoon rise was driven by a rebound, indicating the power theme reached a relative climax. Stocks that failed to break the limit-up are generally weaker, so I sold after the failure.
Reflection: Yesterday I said there was nothing to reflect on; today’s rebound proves that the weak-to-strong opening yesterday was a buy point.

2. Tuowei Information: Bought during Monday’s bidding, increased positions on Tuesday, but the pattern became more passive.

Trading logic:
(1) From the fundamentals: Relying on open-source HarmonyOS 3.0’s underlying capabilities, the company completed deep adaptation and pre-integration of OpenClaw (Lobster), launching an AI BOX with integrated capabilities, making it a genuine Lobster concept stock.
(2) From the technical side: Last Friday’s pure Lobster concept stocks included Tuowei, Jinhang Technology, and Ningbo Construction. Although Ningbo Construction was the first to hit the limit, Tuowei’s popularity and momentum were better. If Ningbo Construction is an emotional stock, Tuowei is the real leader (distinguishing genuine from false leaders can be seen in the first main post). Both hit the limit-up on Feb 27 and Mar 6, forming an ascending three-step pattern with bottom reversal signals. Recent accumulation indicates large funds are building positions.
(3) From speculation expectations: Huawei’s China Partner Conference 2026 is coming up on March 19-20. Before the event, Tuowei still has expectations.
(4) Operation logic: Buying during Monday’s small gap-up was a pre-emptive buy point; increasing positions during Tuesday’s bid was routine. The pattern shows respect for core stocks.
Reflection: Both Tuesday and Wednesday offered good opportunities to reduce positions during rises, but I didn’t, resulting in no reduction of cost basis. Three days of rising and falling, with more malicious shorting today—funds deliberately suppressing Lobster concept stocks, especially evident at the close. Ningbo Construction surged, Huasheng Deepwater quickly turned red, but Tuowei was hammered down. It’s been a long time since I saw a stock with reduced positions being so frustrating—more so than when I bought Lio on Jan 15 and was blacked out (no abnormality triggered but it was shut down). I loved it so much before, now I feel heartbroken.

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2. The Three Steps to Finding Leaders
   (1) From the emotional cycle perspective:
   Still in chaos, although the theme is focusing on power, no stocks dare to break through resistance, making it hard to ignite market sentiment. Ningbo Construction’s 5th limit-up failed again, becoming the ceiling for consecutive limit-ups, unable to open space, so the main upward phase cannot start.
   (2) From thematic speculation:
   Power stocks showed strong continuity, and recently, the power and Lobster concepts have been competing, becoming the most sustained themes. The only downside is the lack of a large leader with significant space. Unfortunately, Yunnan Energy’s secretary keeps issuing suspension warnings; otherwise, Yunnan Energy’s stock could have become a major leader comparable to Pingtan Development. After the power sector strengthened in the afternoon, with China Energy Construction’s rise, it peaked. Tomorrow is expected to be a divergence day, with Yunnan Energy and Shun Na racing at the close. Currently, many stocks within the theme, like Yunnan Energy, China Energy Construction, GCL System Integration, Hanlan Shares, Jinkai New Energy, and Shun Na, are showing distinct features similar to the “Seven Dragons” in aerospace speculation. After tomorrow’s divergence, opportunities will be observed.
   As for Lobster concept stocks, they are deeply hurt—new ideas, imagination, and topics are needed, but they can’t rally. I can’t understand why; there’s suspicion of malicious shorting—are they afraid of domestic AI rising?
   (3) From individual stocks:
   The big leader is clear—Yunnan Energy’s Yunnan Energy Holdings, which integrates power and computing.
   More specifically, in power: China Energy Construction is the core, GCL System is a strong trend group, Hanlan Shares and Shun Na Shares are more sentiment-driven.

3. Leader Comments

4. Yunnan Energy Holdings: The power computing collaboration leader. Its first limit-up broke above the previous high, with a strong chip structure typical of a major leader; the 5th limit-up opened with a large divergence, and the 5th to 6th transition was weak-to-strong, passing the “crossing the tribulation” test, showing potential to become a major leader.
   Proactively breaking through the 5th limit-up resistance, facing abnormal movement at the 7th limit-up, last Monday’s deep water long-legged pattern faced market warnings and suspension notices, becoming a breakthrough leader. After sideways adjustment, it resisted extreme market conditions, representing “crossing the heavenly tribulation.” Last Friday, it surged with the market recovery, successfully crossing the tribulation and evolving into a major leader, driving power sector speculation.
   Trading aspect: It’s more of a breakthrough leader, leading market sentiment recovery. When the market shifts from chaos to a main upward phase, a breakthrough leader appears first, followed by a true major leader. For example, before Jierong Technology, it was the 8-limit-up of WoLe Home that heated up the scene. As a breakthrough leader, the risk-reward ratio is no longer attractive, and the company’s secretary often issues suspension warnings.

5. Shun Na Shares: The power computing leader. Tuesday’s high-volume divergence caused a break; Wednesday’s weak-to-strong high open and pullback; today’s rebound closed positive, though it broke at the end, but the upward trend remains. Funds might be avoiding abnormal movements; if so, a correction tomorrow is preferable.
   Trading: Expect power sector divergence tomorrow; observe first, then consider after avoiding abnormal movements.

6. China Energy Construction: The power sector’s core, with a market cap of hundreds of billions, has hit 4 limit-ups in 3 days, once again refreshing cognition. But as a large-cap stock, the upward space is already large; further growth expectations are limited. Today’s turnover hit an astonishing 17.4 billion yuan, with a risk of topping out.
   Trading: Only selling points, no buying points.

7. Tomorrow’s Observation
   (1) The degree of divergence in power stocks, focusing on China Energy Construction’s divergence; after divergence, observe which stocks perform countertrend.
   (2) Yasheng Group avoided abnormal movements today; if it rebounds tomorrow, more funds may use the “avoid abnormal movement” approach to create leaders, and Shun Na Shares may follow.
   (3) Lobster concept stocks diverged for two days, especially today with significant divergence. Usually, tomorrow will see fund battles over weekend news, so observe whether funds flow back and the strength of the flow. If the flow is weak, the theme’s hype will diminish.

8. Insights on Dao (Wisdom) Sharing (from Asking’s “Super Short Rhythm Control”)

Q: How to predict super short trades?
A: There’s a famous saying in the industry: “Seeing the three-day trend makes you rich enough to rival a country.” The basis for day-after-day trading is just to correctly judge the two-day trend. So, if you do not aim to be extremely rich, you can make some small profits. The two-day trend involves analyzing the current day’s market and target stocks, and the next day’s market and stocks, then making predictions to guide actions.
Interpretation: Super short-term trading is difficult due to system construction and execution; it’s simple because it doesn’t require considering long-term or complex factors—just predict the day’s and next day’s trend, hot spots, and persistence, then act accordingly. Fundamentals are less important; the key is to observe the common features of the market’s strongest stocks and use that to judge overall market gains and losses. For example, in the breakout strategy, the probability of a stock that hit the limit-up yesterday opening higher today can be used as a reference for whether to breakout or how much to allocate, based on the continuation of profit effects.

Q: How to improve a rollercoaster account?
A: Excessive arbitrary operations are the main reason for unstable returns in super short-term trading. Therefore, planning becomes increasingly important. Having a plan for super short trades is now more common in my trading. Static stock selection after market close is far more important than dynamic intra-day selection, and success rates are much higher. Practice with small orders, then develop a systematic approach.
Interpretation: Solutions for a rollercoaster account mainly include three points: first, increase the proportion of planned trades and reduce random intra-day operations; second, use position splitting to lower the volatility of returns; third, follow the emotional cycle to control trading rhythm, which depends on accurately grasping and judging the emotional cycle.

One sentence summary of today’s market:
China Energy Construction opens big, power stocks soar!

That’s all for today! Thanks everyone for your recognition and support! If you have questions, feel free to discuss in the comments!
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