ETH Structural Strategy (15m + 1H)

Main Path
Rebound Failure → Continued Pullback → Re-Engagement

Current Structural Judgment
ETH shows a peak at 2038:

Failed to Break Higher

Continuous Decline Below Moving Averages

Returns to the 1950 level

Currently:

👉 Second correction phase after an upward move
👉 1H level weak oscillating structure

Not a trend reversal bullish phase.

Technical Structural Features
BOLL

15m

Upper Band Pressed Down

Middle Band Flattening and Turning Down

Price repeatedly pressured at the middle band

➡️ Short-term bears control the rhythm

1H

Middle Band beginning to flatten

Upper Band narrowing

Volatility decreasing

➡️ Market enters direction selection zone

MACD

15m

Bearish Crossover

Red Histogram turning Green

Momentum continues to be released

➡️ Correction not over

1H

Approaching zero line

Bullish momentum fading

➡️ Trend entering neutral zone

RSI

15m: Oscillating in mid-low range

1H: Falling back near 50

➡️ No longer a strong trending market

Overall Rhythm Judgment

Failed to Break Higher → Bears reclaim liquidity → Seek support below

Key Levels (Most Important to Watch Now)
Support Zone

1950 (Current battleground ⭐️)

1920 — 1905 (Strong engagement zone)

1885 (Structural critical line)

Resistance Zone

1975 (Short-term resistance)

2000 — 2010 (Core resistance ⭐️)

2035 (Trend reversal confirmation)

Secondary Path
Sideways accumulation → Rebound again

If:

Persistent sideways movement above 1950

Downtrend with no volume

Multiple holds at 1920

Then a possible:

👉 1950 — 2000 Range

Breakthrough above 2000:

Target levels:

2035

2070

Alternative Path (Increasing Probability)

Breakdown of structure → Extended decline

If:

Break below 1920

Rebound fails to hold

Then the market will enter:

👉 New downward leg

Target:

1905

1885

1850 (Liquidity zone)

Trading Suggestions (Follow Your Strategy)
✅ Main Rhythm (Currently Priority)

Rebound to short ＞ Bottom-fishing

1970 — 2000
Gradual short entries

Stop-loss:

Above 2015

Targets:

1950 → 1920 → 1905

✅ Short-term long positions (only on rebound)

Only one scenario for long:

Sharp drop to 1920 / 1905

Formation of stabilization structure

Light position rebound long.

❌ Most Dangerous Operation Now

Chasing longs

Opening positions at mid-price

Treating oscillation as trend

Summary of Rhythm (Core)

Current Market State:

👉 1H oscillation weakening
👉 15m bears dominating