The key is not whether it rises or falls, but the structure

Many people always want to predict whether Bitcoin will go up or down next, but mature traders focus more on whether the structure has been broken. At the current stage, if Bitcoin is still operating within the medium-term upward structure channel, then a pullback is essentially just a fluctuation within the trend, not a reversal. The method to judge is simple: observe whether the highs and lows are continuously rising, whether the moving averages maintain a bullish alignment, and whether the pullback is decreasing in volume.
If subsequent price dips test the key moving average area and find support, and the lows no longer make new lows, then there is a high probability of entering a sideways upward rhythm. This type of market is the most torturous — slow to rise, shallow dips, but constantly raising the cost zone, causing anxiety for those with no positions and hesitation for those fully invested.
Conversely, once there is a volume-driven breakdown of the medium-term structural support, and the rebound is weak and fails to recover, then be alert to a trend change. Once the trend shifts, it’s not something that can be fixed in a day or two.
So, "what’s next" is not about guessing, but about tracking. Those who follow the trend make money from the trend, those who go against it profit from emotions, but most who survive long-term are the former.
#比特币下一步怎么走？