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When Washington begins to study blockchain, the market starts to study Washington
The crypto world has always touted "decentralization," but reality is quite stark: the regulatory attitude of the world's largest capital markets remains the industry’s barometer. Organizing summits at the White House level is itself a political signal—cryptocurrency is no longer just a geek toy but part of macro financial discussions.
The direct impact of these summits on prices may be limited, but they are highly influential in managing expectations. Market trading is never just about assets; it’s also about policy pathways. If signals of cross-departmental collaboration, sandbox mechanisms, and gradual legislation are released after the summit, risk premiums naturally decrease, and valuation systems will be reshaped. Simply put, for the same chain, the valuation of "gray assets" and "compliant assets" could differ by a factor of two.
But don’t overlook the other side: policy discussion cycles are often longer than market sentiment cycles. The crypto market is accustomed to a 24/7 heartbeat, while Washington operates on quarterly and annual rhythms, creating a natural time lag. Short-term speculation can easily outrun policy, leading to "expectation overreach."
For investors, a smarter perspective is to treat summits as trend coordinates rather than trading signals. They mark the transition of crypto into an institutionalized phase, meaning the myth of quick riches diminishes, but long-term capital increases. Wildness may decline, but survival rates improve.
As regulation becomes one of the variables, the crypto market is shifting from narrative-driven to a new cycle driven by both institutions and fundamentals.