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#WhenWillBTCRebound?
When will BTC “really” go?
BTC has been fluctuating around the main support for a while,
attempts to go higher are weak,
and the price is still under pressure below the main resistance.
In market terms:
👉 It's called a recovery, but there’s no strength.
👉 There are buyers, but control is still with the sellers.
This type of pattern is usually not a “bottom reversal,”
but “indecision + post-distribution balance seeking.”
So, when does a DEFINITE recovery begin?
A recovery starts not when the price rises,
but when the market structure changes.
It’s premature to say “BTC is going up” without these 4 things:
1️⃣ Sustained above the main resistance
Breaking resistance ≠ recovery.
The real signal is:
✔ Resistance is broken
✔ Price pulls back
✔ That former resistance now acts as support
If every rally returns below resistance → the market is still weak.
2️⃣ A series of lower highs must be broken
Currently, the pattern is generally:
Lower High → Lower High → Lower High
What does this mean?
Each bounce is weaker than the previous one.
For a recovery:
➡ We need to see a close above the previous high for the first time.
This is the first sign that control has shifted from sellers to buyers.
3️⃣ Volume behavior must change
Currently, typical weak market volume:
📉 Volume increases during declines
📈 Volume decreases during rises
Recovery signals:
✔ Noticeable volume increase on bullish candles
✔ Volume decrease during pullbacks
Without this, upward moves are usually short squeezes, not a lasting trend.
4️⃣ Sharp declines should be quickly recovered
Bear market characteristics:
⬇ Sharp drops
⬆ Slow recoveries
Bull reversal characteristics:
⬇ Decline occurs
⬆ Rapid buying, candles are bought back
If falling candles cannot be offset for a long time → the market is still on the defensive.
What does the current picture indicate?
Main support exists, but no strong rebound
Reactions are weak
Pressure below resistance persists
This pattern generally means:
🧠 “Is a accumulation coming, or is it a new decline?” uncertainty.
In other words, the market may be preparing to rise,
but it’s too early to say “it has started.”
In summary, the true recovery is:
✅ Persistence above resistance
✅ Higher highs
✅ Strong volume during rises
✅ Rapid absorption of declines
Without seeing these four together,
what you often see is:
Not a recovery, just a reaction.
#WhenWillBTCRebound?