#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 $BTC Night Viewpoints:


Tonight's move is the real test of strength. Bitcoin gave you hope this morning, and now it’s delivering a warning shot.

This morning, a beautiful arc bottom was drawn, leading everyone to think a breakout was imminent. But tonight, we saw a small dip. The entire day has been spent in this limbo—neither rising nor falling😓.

The 92617 level has blocked Bitcoin’s upward movement; a pullback is normal. The problem is it didn’t hold the 91472 line. If it were strong, it should have oscillated around 91472, waiting for the US stock market to open and continue upward. The current pattern indicates a bit of fatigue.

The current situation is this: 91472 has become a resistance level. Only a breakout above it can lead to testing 92617. If it can't go higher, a retest of 90393 becomes risky. If that breaks, 89294 will be the next support.

Look at the position indicated by the red arrow below—the pin did not break the previous white arrow’s low point. As long as the white arrow’s level holds, Bitcoin won’t keep falling. Only if it breaks will lower points appear, leading to a deeper correction.

**Trading strategy**: If Bitcoin breaks above 91456 with volume, consider chasing long positions. If it retraces to 89265, look for long entries. Keep a close eye on volume changes and set proper stop-losses.

**Hourly chart**: If it breaks and stabilizes above 91456, the target range is between 92617 and 93892. If it can’t break through, expect it to fluctuate between these two points.

**4-hour chart**: A break below 90253 would be problematic. Support levels are at 89259 and 88395. If 90253 is lost and cannot recover, it’s time to accept it.

**Daily chart**: The pattern on the chart looks somewhat like a head and shoulders top, but it’s not fully formed yet—so it’s still potential. The right shoulder is in the white box. If it breaks above the left shoulder’s high, the head and shoulders pattern will be invalidated. Forming this pattern on the daily chart is not easy, with the key level at 94746—if it can’t break through, it’s all for nothing.

Looking at it from another angle: if someday Bitcoin can reach 107073, that would be your golden opportunity to escape.
BTC0.79%
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