#美国贸易赤字状况 The Federal Reserve Chair Under Investigation, but the Crypto World is Boiling!

The latest big news: Powell is under criminal investigation, ostensibly over testimony disputes related to the Fed's headquarters renovation project, but everyone can see that behind it is the Trump administration's relentless pressure to cut interest rates. Prosecutors long allied with Trump approved the investigation, and Powell openly called it "a blatant attack on the independence of the central bank."

At first glance, it seems like a political struggle, but it actually affects the entire financial ecosystem. Why does Trump insist on rate cuts? A simple calculation makes it clear—the $37.7 trillion national debt is overwhelming, and each 1% rate cut can save nearly $400 billion in interest payments. The Fed is steadfastly committed to inflation targets and refuses to compromise. This game directly targets the autonomy of interest rate policy.

For the crypto circle, this isn't just watching a show. History has the answer: during the zero-interest-rate cycle from 2020 to 2021, BTC surged 1700%, and ETH skyrocketed 1900%. When liquidity loosens, funds rush into high-risk assets. Standard Chartered Bank even predicts that by 2026, BTC could reach $300,000.

But don’t celebrate too early. The market has already priced in expectations of rate cuts, and risks are lurking. The escalation of political battles means increased policy uncertainty. The scene where BTC plummeted 50% at the start of the 2020 rate cut cycle could repeat. Investors need to prepare for two scenarios: if the investigation forces the Fed to accelerate rate cuts, core assets like BTC and ETH could enter a new rally; if conflicts intensify and trigger risk-off selling, it could be a good opportunity to buy quality coins on dips. The key is to closely monitor every policy signal and control leverage—don't get shaken out by volatility.

This "political and financial tug-of-war" has just begun. Can central bank independence be maintained? When will the rate cut window truly open? How can crypto assets seize that liquidity dividend? Looking forward to hearing your thoughts.