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AR's recent trend is quite interesting. The price precisely retraced to the core accumulation zone of $3.00-$4.00 that saw a major breakout at the end of 2023. This level has been validated over several years and is considered an absolute bottom. Looking at the chart, it's clear that every time AR drops to this level, it stops falling as if it were electrocuted, but this sideways consolidation has lasted a bit longer this time, indicating that market confidence recovery still needs some time.
From a long-term perspective, AR is indeed in the "sweet spot" for value investing. As the leading infrastructure in the decentralized storage DePIN sector, its fundamentals haven't changed, and the coin price has already fallen to its bottom. The current level of $3.70? It's a typical high-risk, high-reward entry point on the left side of the curve.
Let's review the key levels. Short-term resistance is in the $5.50-$6.00 range, which is the first resistance in the recent downtrend and also the bottom of the support platform. The real strong resistance is at the $10.00 integer mark; only by breaking above this can the bear market truly be declared over. On the support side, the golden bottom is around the current $3.50-$3.70 zone, with an extreme bottom at $3.00—this is the lowest historical defense line. If broken, the logic of the storage sector might need to be reassessed.
Currently, volume is at a very low, bottoming-out state. Compared to higher levels, trading volume has shrunk significantly, and selling pressure has clearly dried up. In simple terms, it's a zombie state—no one is selling, no one is buying, everyone is waiting for a wind to come.
For investors already holding positions, my advice is one sentence: preserve your faith. AR and similar assets are the kind of "three years of no activity, then a big move that lasts three years" type. Cutting at $3.70 is pointless; holding firm and being patient is the wiser choice, waiting for the Web3 storage narrative to regain momentum.
If you're still out of the market, this is actually a good time to dollar-cost average, especially for long-term investors with patience. Buying in the $3.60-$3.80 range with eyes closed is fine, with a stop-loss set below $2.80, aiming for a mid-term double to $7.50. AR is a dormant giant, very suitable as a long-term holding in the DePIN sector.