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In the crypto market, every day is a psychological test. I don't pursue quick riches; I just want steady growth within a range I can understand.
Looking back at 2018, I started with 50,000 yuan saved from doing business. At the most疯狂, my account soared to 4 million, then nearly wiped out again. Over these seven years, I've experienced three complete bull and bear cycles, and my assets finally stabilized at just over 7 million. The crypto world is right—here, one day’s intensity equals a year’s worth of reality.
I've seen too many people boast about being trading geniuses during bull markets, only to disappear in silence during bear markets. Surviving until now is not luck, but a few principles I strictly follow.
**Volume and price tell the truth; indicators are all lies**
In the beginning, I also迷失 in various technical indicators, but I later realized—the true face of the market lies in the relationship between volume and price.
Main players have characteristic behaviors: when rising, it’s fierce (more than 15% increase in three days); when falling, it’s gentle (only about 5% drop over five days). More importantly, trading volume severely contracts, with the volume during declines at least 30% less than during rises. Last year, SOL’s movement was textbook—rushing from $100 to $150, then slowly retracing to $130 over ten days, with volume decreasing all the way. I didn’t move, and later it surged to $220.
Conversely, a sharp drop followed by a weak rebound is a signal that the main players are harvesting. In 2021, I saw a meme coin crash through 30%, then struggle to rebound 5% the next day—volume halved. I immediately cut, and finally, that coin went to zero.
Simple, right? The volume-price relationship never lies, but most people prefer to look at indicators rather than the most真实的成交行为.