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Crypto circle has never made money from time; it's about whether you have patience and dare to act when opportunities come. Price fluctuations are just numbers bouncing around; as long as the direction is correct, you'll eventually break even. Don't pay too much attention to each candlestick; stay calm, understand the overall trend, and wait for the real opportunity.
You can understand this by looking at Bitcoin's recent performance. After a rapid drop to 86,355 some time ago, a clear long lower shadow appeared at the bottom, indicating that funds were absorbing the sell-off, and no one was willing to buy the dip. Although it then rebounded, the market shifted from continuous decline to stabilization and recovery, with no new lows at the bottom and the highs gradually moving upward. The four-hour chart is approaching the short-term moving average again, but each time it nears 88,000, there is resistance, with upper shadows repeatedly appearing. This is still a technical rebound within a downtrend, not a trend reversal. Although there are bullish candles on the one-hour chart, their bodies are short, and the volume is moderate, which looks more like bears are covering their positions and sentiment is recovering. So, caution is still needed; a spike could lead to a pullback.
The short-term strategy is: short Bitcoin in the 87,800 to 88,300 range, targeting around 86,500; short Ethereum in the 2,950 to 2,980 range, targeting around 2,880. The overall trend remains bearish; the rebound is just an opportunity to get in.