2025-12-24 14:26:16

Bitcoin has entered a critical phase of trend reversal on the four-hour chart. The price is oscillating around the Bollinger middle band at 87,250, testing back and forth. As the distance between the upper and lower bands continues to narrow, volatility has been pushed to a low level. From the MACD perspective, the two lines are tightly hugging above the zero line, and the histogram is nearly disappearing. This indicates that the bulls and bears have temporarily reached a certain balance, but such balance usually does not last.

The support and resistance levels are clearly defined. The first resistance is the Bollinger upper band at 88,080, which resonates with recent highs, making it a relatively strong resistance. The first support is the Bollinger lower band at 86,615, which coincides with the low from four hours ago, forming a solid support. The round number at 87,000 can be regarded as a dividing line between bullish and bearish sentiment.

To signal a clear bullish trend, two conditions must be met simultaneously: the price must break through the resistance at 88,080 with increased volume, and the MACD must form a golden cross above the zero line with an opening that appears to be widening. Conversely, if the price's body falls below the support at 86,615 and the MACD forms a death cross and diverges downward, it is a clear bearish signal.

From a trading perspective, the logic for going long is as follows—once the price breaks above 88,050, you can consider opening a long position in the range of 87,600 to 87,800, with an initial target of 89,500. If momentum is truly strong, it can even aim for the 90,000 round number. However, stop-loss must be strict, set below 87,200, and not moved. For short positions, if the price falls below 86,500, you can open a short in the rebound zone between 86,800 and 87,000, with the first target at 85,500 and the second at 85,000. The stop-loss should be placed above 87,200.

This is a critical moment before the trend reversal. It is advisable to use about one-third of your usual position size to test the waters. If the price continues to oscillate between 86,500 and 88,000, it’s best to stay on the sidelines and wait for a genuine breakout. Regardless of the situation, all stop-losses must be properly set—that is the bottom line.

BTC-0.27%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

17 Likes

Reward
17
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

OnchainArchaeologist

· 3h ago

Bollinger Bands are so tight, feels like a big move is coming --- Same old rhetoric, waiting for a breakout... how many times have we waited --- 87,000 is the watershed of fate, I’m betting on it --- Trying one-third of the position? Sounds stable, but I prefer to go all in --- MACD’s dead line sticking to the zero line without moving, it’s so annoying to watch --- Setting stop-losses properly, I agree with that, everything else is nonsense --- If 90,000 really breaks, I’ll do a handstand live --- Talking about support and resistance again, the market doesn’t listen to you --- This wave of volatility has lasted long enough, a direction must be chosen --- At critical moments, one-third of the position, it’s safe but when the market moves, you’ll really regret it --- After watching for a while, only one sentence: wait for the breakout, don’t make reckless moves

View OriginalReply0

MissedAirdropAgain

· 3h ago

Bollinger Bands are about to burst. Whether this wave can escape entirely depends on the face of 8080. --- 87000 is the critical line; breaking it or not directly determines the rhythm moving forward. --- It's that same "set stop-loss" rhetoric again. It sounds easy to say, but who wouldn't feel distressed if it really drops? --- I feel there are still too many people waiting, just afraid that a sudden big move will shake everyone out. --- One-third of the position is used to test the waters. Listening to it sounds rational, but it's actually a gamble. --- When will the golden cross and death cross clearly appear? Feels like waiting a year. --- Is the integer threshold really that useful, or is it mostly psychological? --- The key is that the momentum isn't enough. If it's not enough, how can it push up to 90000? --- If the volatility continues, I'll just lie flat and watch. This kind of market is the most annoying.

View OriginalReply0

DegenDreamer

· 3h ago

It's the same frustrating situation stuck in the middle. I'm so annoyed, just waiting for a breakout.

View OriginalReply0

LonelyAnchorman

· 3h ago

87250, this wave is stalling again, bulls and bears are deadlocked, so annoying

View OriginalReply0

JustAnotherWallet

· 3h ago

Bollinger Bands are squeezed tight, MACD is hugging the zero line, this is the rhythm of lying flat --- 87250 stubbornly holding, when will we finally choose a direction --- Stop-loss must be strict, I agree with this, too many people don't heed advice --- Only count it as valid if it breaks 88080, anything said now is pointless --- 86615 if broken, you must run, don't think about bottom fishing --- Try a third of your position, this suggestion isn't bad --- Another trend reversal, another critical point, it's always critical every day --- The integer level at 87000, I've been waiting for this moment --- Golden cross and death cross, not a single word can be missed --- Within the oscillation range, just observe, anyway it won't rise

View OriginalReply0

ApeEscapeArtist