2025-12-24 14:25:38

Interesting phenomenon: Looking at the market reports on Wall Street, investors' routines haven't changed in decades. The boom and panic in the crypto market this time are basically indistinguishable from the previous cycles and even earlier ones.

Stock speculation and crypto asset speculation are essentially the same—they are people repeating the same stories. When the economic cycle is booming, everyone rushes in; when panic spreads, everyone flees. Change the era, change the asset class, but investors' psychological dramas remain the same.

What has this industry always relied on to survive? It’s human nature—the pendulum of greed and fear. So instead of predicting new tricks for the 2026 crypto market, it’s better to understand the collective psychology of investors. History repeats itself, human nature repeats itself, and the market’s cyclicality continually unfolds within this cycle.

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TopBuyerBottomSeller

· 3h ago

Exactly, it's just the same old tricks playing on repeat. The essence of human greed can't be changed, and market cycles swing back and forth like a pendulum. Once you see through this, there's no need to waste effort predicting anything; just follow the psychological cycles. Really, these decades-old stories keep repeating, just with different coins or concepts.

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PositionPhobia

· 5h ago

You're totally right, human nature really hasn't changed... I'm just stuck in this cycle now. I'm just afraid that I might be the one being cut as a leek, always missing the right rhythm. The pendulum of greed and fear, I'm the one swinging at both ends. Knowing it all doesn't help; I still have to play, it's truly despairing. 2026? Let's just survive until next year first. The positions I hold every day are scaring me. The theory of human nature cycles sounds great, but in practice, it's easy to get slapped in the face. 套路 just means套路, I just can never learn how to do the opposite. I've heard the story of historical cycles many times, but when it comes to critical moments, I still panic. Same pit, I might have jumped into it five times already.

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MemeKingNFT

· 5h ago

That's a brilliant point, I've seen through it long ago. Last year, I mentioned this logic in a Discord of a certain NFT project, and I was heavily criticized haha. Looking back now, it really is the eternal cycle of human nature; the consensus during the bottoming phase is always the hardest to form.

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FreeMinter

· 5h ago

Basically, it's the fate of the little guys—changing the name and continuing to be exploited. Human nature really can't be governed.

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HypotheticalLiquidator

· 5h ago

The tactics haven't changed, but the leverage multiples are... that's the real issue. Historical cycles are just cycles; risk control thresholds have long been broken. --- I believe in human nature's pendulum, but how many people have been crushed by the pendulum of chain liquidations? --- 2026? I just want to know what the current lending rate actually is; that's the last straw that will break the camel's back. --- It's called "cyclical" in a nice way, but basically it's systemic risk brewing—just a matter of time. --- I've seen greed and fear a hundred times, but now the key question is who will be cut at the liquidation price... --- Historical cycle? The problem is that all participants in this round are playing with leverage; deleveraging will be the real domino effect. --- It's correct that investor psychology hasn't changed, but the market sentiment volatility is indeed out of control, and that's not a good sign.

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LiquidatedTwice

· 5h ago

Basically, it's just the leeks repeating the same show; we're all just actors in the script. Greed and fear have been playing this game for so many years, and honestly, no one can escape. Instead of thinking about how to make money in 2026, it's better to understand why you always buy high and sell low. History doesn't change; it just changes the name of the coin.

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