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Recently, there is a noteworthy signal in the market: addresses related to Mentougou have dumped nearly 1,300 Bitcoins over the past week. Once this news broke, many traders started to ponder—Is this really a sell-off, or just market manipulation?
Actually, there's no need to overthink. The candlestick charts will provide the most honest answer.
I looked at the current technical situation, and a few key pieces of information, when connected, can clearly explain why BTC is stuck at this price level and unable to move:
**Why can't it go above 87,500?** The intraday resistance zone is precisely around 87,463, which coincides exactly with the large-volume sell-off price. In other words, as long as this selling pressure isn't fully absorbed by the market, the price will be suppressed. This is no coincidence.
**The trend has already issued a warning.** The trend boundary is at 88,968. As long as the closing price stays below this, the apparent rebound is very likely a trap set by the main players to buy at a better price. This kind of situation is especially common in bear markets.
**What is the actual operation?** If you want to go long, don't rush to buy the dip. Unless you can effectively hold above 87,500 with volume, the risk of getting caught in a sudden drop is high. The real support below is at 86,536. Once this level is broken, panic sentiment will truly be unleashed.
To put it simply, news often lags behind, but technical resistance levels never lie. Recognizing this downward move early depends on precise grasp of key price points.