Having been in the crypto world for so many years, I increasingly realize a harsh truth — this market tests not how strong your judgment is, but whether you can stick to the rules you set.

When I first entered the crypto market, I was also a K-line fanatic. I watched the charts every day, afraid of missing any fluctuation, but as a result, I lost a lot of hair and my account remained stagnant. It was only later that I understood that making money depends not on intelligence, but on execution and sense of rhythm.

Based on years of real trading validation, I have summarized a relatively stable coin selection methodology, which boils down to six steps. It’s simple to say but can help avoid most risks when used.

**First Trick: Only focus on active assets, filter out "dead" coins**

Before each market move, I review recent gainers, but the key is not to look at who rose the fastest, but to identify those with a record of significant fluctuations. What does having a fluctuation record mean? It means that within the past half month, there has been a noticeable upward trend with a substantial increase. Why choose this way? Because the market is a game of attention; coins with a history of rising are naturally more likely to attract renewed interest, just like actors with famous roles are easier to remember. Coins with no fluctuations and dead silence, honestly, are better off being ignored until they rise — or better yet, go buy a lottery ticket. Although this step is crude, it can reduce the selection pool to about one-tenth.

**Second Trick: Only buy when the monthly MACD shows a golden cross, avoid following the crowd or betting on rebounds**

Technical indicators are numerous, but I only keep one — the monthly MACD golden cross. Although this indicator reacts slowly, precisely because of this, the trend it reflects is genuine and trustworthy. Once the golden cross forms, it indicates that the overall direction is indeed stable; rushing in before the golden cross appears is no different from crossing the street with your eyes closed.

I have long given up the habit of "bottom fishing for rebounds" — that’s just digging a hole for myself.