December 24 BTC Technical Analysis and Strategy (As of 13:00, current price approximately 87,200 USD)

• Core Judgment: Short-term sideways with a slight bearish bias, mainly shorting high and adding to longs on dips; low liquidity during Christmas holiday, strictly control positions and stop-losses.
Key Price Levels (Multiple Timeframes)
• Support: 87,000 (intraday) → 85,200 (4H) → 84,000-84,500 (Weekly strong support) → 80,600 (extreme defense)
• Resistance: 87,800 (4H midline) → 88,500 (Fibonacci) → 90,000 (psychological/trend line) → 94,588 (weekly confirmation level)
Indicator Overview
• Daily: RSI 44.57 (Neutral); MACD red histogram slightly expanding but main line still negative, bearish structure remains
• 4H: Moving averages in a bearish alignment, price near Bollinger Band lower band, rebound lacks strength
• 2H: Short-term oversold correction in progress, resistance encountered during rebound signals a shift to bearish
Actionable Strategies (Scenario-based)
1. Short-term High-Short Strategy (Main Strategy)
◦ Entry: Resistance at 87,500-87,800 (e.g., top pattern/volume shrinking), light position 10%-15% short
◦ Add to Short: Rebound to 88,500-89,000 then encounter resistance, add 10% short
◦ Stop-Loss: Set above 90,200 (weekly resistance + holiday volatility buffer)
◦ Take-Profit: First target 85,200 (reduce 50%), second target 84,000-84,500 (close position)
2. Low-Long Strategy (Auxiliary, only when support is effective)
◦ Entry: Stabilization at 84,000-84,500 (e.g., bottom pattern/volume rebound), light position 10% long
◦ Stop-Loss: Below 83,500 (if strong support breaks, reverse position)
◦ Take-Profit: 86,500-87,000 (rebound resistance zone, partial exit)
3. Breakout Response
◦ Break above 90,200 and hold: retest 89,000-89,500 for long, stop-loss at 88,500, target 92,000-93,000
◦ Break below 83,500: rebound to 84,000-84,500 for short, stop-loss at 85,000, target 80,600
Risk Management Rules
• Total position ≤30%, individual asset ≤15%; single trade stop-loss ≤2% of account
• Due to poor liquidity during Christmas holiday, avoid overnight heavy positions; reduce to light or close positions before market close
• Options settlement week (12/26) approaching, beware of long and short traps, avoid chasing highs and selling lows
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