To be honest, Bitcoin's performance so far this year is essentially just digesting last year's surge. Last year, it rose by 122%, outperforming almost all other assets by 5 times. After such a frenzy, there has to be a cooling-off period, right?



Even if it stays flat or even dips slightly throughout 2025, its annualized average return can still remain around 50%—that’s a top-tier figure no matter where you look. Assets need to catch their breath, just like stocks; cyclical corrections are perfectly normal.

Right now, there are all kinds of in-depth analyses and panic spreading throughout the market, but I think it’s really unnecessary. Some things just aren’t that complicated—after a big run-up, it’s normal to take a break, that’s all. Don’t mistake a normal market breather for some kind of major crisis.
BTC0.19%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
CryptoNomicsvip
· 4h ago
actually if you run a basic regression analysis on btc's volatility clusters, the 122% YoY surge was statistically inevitable given the preceding accumulation phase. your "market breathing" thesis conveniently ignores the correlation matrix between macro liquidity conditions and price action. correlation ≠ causation, but sure, let's pretend cycles are that simple.
Reply0
LucidSleepwalkervip
· 12-07 10:50
That's right, last year's rally was indeed crazy. It's totally reasonable to take a breather now, I don't see why anyone should be panicking. --- An annualized 50% return is already top-tier, yet people are still worrying for no reason. It's hilarious. --- Exactly, the market naturally has its own rhythm. Treating every pullback like it's the end of the world is just too much. --- It's just a digestion period. Everyone's being too greedy—after a 100% gain, expecting it to keep skyrocketing isn't realistic. --- All this daily panic is just anxiety fueled by some self-media accounts. --- Do you know what an annualized 50% return means? Most global funds can't even come close, and yet people are complaining? --- It's just normal market breathing, but people act like it's a heart attack—ridiculous.
View OriginalReply0
YieldWhisperervip
· 12-07 10:49
There's nothing wrong with this logic. Last year's rally was definitely overextended, so it's only natural to be taking a breather now. --- A 50% annualized return beats fixed deposits anywhere, what's there to panic about, seriously. --- I just want to know, are the ones constantly being bearish just people who missed out last year? --- It's just about digesting, that's all there is to it. No need to make up some big story. --- Agreed. Cyclical things are being hyped up as if it's the end of the world—there's really a lot of drama in this market.
View OriginalReply0
DAOTruantvip
· 12-07 10:48
That's right, that 122% surge last year was definitely overextended, and now we're just in a normal digestion period. Is a 50% annualized return still considered low? People act like they've seen a ghost, but it's just taking a breather. How many assets worldwide can deliver a 50% return in a year? Why does every pullback have to be treated like the end of the world? An adjustment period was long overdue; during the last surge, the market just went all in. After a rally, you need a break—people always manage to overcomplicate even the simplest logic. Normal fluctuations are being hyped up as black swans; honestly, it's because the market participants are too young. An annualized 50% return—most people can't even dream of that.
View OriginalReply0
TokenomicsTrappervip
· 12-07 10:46
ngl this reads like cope for missing the actual vesting dump schedule coming q1... "market breathing" lmao classic euphemism
Reply0
PumpDetectorvip
· 12-07 10:43
nah this is just noise tbh... been through enough cycles to know when people are reading tea leaves. consolidation is accumulation, not capitulation fr
Reply0
RektRecordervip
· 12-07 10:36
Really, last year's surge was insane. Isn't it normal to take a breather now... --- After a 122% increase, still maintaining a 50% annualized return—who could complain about that? --- The market is hyping up panic every day, it's just ridiculous... A normal correction is being talked about like it's the end of the world. --- What's wrong with taking a break? Assets need to catch their breath too... Why does it have to go up every day to be considered a bull market? --- Wake up, everyone. Cyclical corrections are standard, it's not breaking news. --- Honestly, it's just digesting last year's craziness. What's there to be nervous about? --- A 50% annualized return is top tier in any market, yet people are still crying? --- Everyone got spoiled by that 122% surge... Now it's a bit more stable and people are already calling it a drop. --- All these so-called in-depth analyses are just trying to jump on the bandwagon, it's pointless. --- It's really not that complicated, it's just... after going up so much, it's time to take a break.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)