To be honest, Bitcoin's performance so far this year is essentially just digesting last year's surge. Last year, it rose by 122%, outperforming almost all other assets by 5 times. After such a frenzy, there has to be a cooling-off period, right?
Even if it stays flat or even dips slightly throughout 2025, its annualized average return can still remain around 50%—that’s a top-tier figure no matter where you look. Assets need to catch their breath, just like stocks; cyclical corrections are perfectly normal.
Right now, there are all kinds of in-depth analyses and panic spreading throughout the market, but I think it’s really unnecessary. Some things just aren’t that complicated—after a big run-up, it’s normal to take a break, that’s all. Don’t mistake a normal market breather for some kind of major crisis.
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CryptoNomics
· 4h ago
actually if you run a basic regression analysis on btc's volatility clusters, the 122% YoY surge was statistically inevitable given the preceding accumulation phase. your "market breathing" thesis conveniently ignores the correlation matrix between macro liquidity conditions and price action. correlation ≠ causation, but sure, let's pretend cycles are that simple.
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LucidSleepwalker
· 12-07 10:50
That's right, last year's rally was indeed crazy. It's totally reasonable to take a breather now, I don't see why anyone should be panicking.
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An annualized 50% return is already top-tier, yet people are still worrying for no reason. It's hilarious.
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Exactly, the market naturally has its own rhythm. Treating every pullback like it's the end of the world is just too much.
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It's just a digestion period. Everyone's being too greedy—after a 100% gain, expecting it to keep skyrocketing isn't realistic.
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All this daily panic is just anxiety fueled by some self-media accounts.
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Do you know what an annualized 50% return means? Most global funds can't even come close, and yet people are complaining?
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It's just normal market breathing, but people act like it's a heart attack—ridiculous.
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YieldWhisperer
· 12-07 10:49
There's nothing wrong with this logic. Last year's rally was definitely overextended, so it's only natural to be taking a breather now.
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A 50% annualized return beats fixed deposits anywhere, what's there to panic about, seriously.
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I just want to know, are the ones constantly being bearish just people who missed out last year?
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It's just about digesting, that's all there is to it. No need to make up some big story.
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Agreed. Cyclical things are being hyped up as if it's the end of the world—there's really a lot of drama in this market.
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DAOTruant
· 12-07 10:48
That's right, that 122% surge last year was definitely overextended, and now we're just in a normal digestion period. Is a 50% annualized return still considered low?
People act like they've seen a ghost, but it's just taking a breather.
How many assets worldwide can deliver a 50% return in a year? Why does every pullback have to be treated like the end of the world?
An adjustment period was long overdue; during the last surge, the market just went all in.
After a rally, you need a break—people always manage to overcomplicate even the simplest logic.
Normal fluctuations are being hyped up as black swans; honestly, it's because the market participants are too young.
An annualized 50% return—most people can't even dream of that.
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TokenomicsTrapper
· 12-07 10:46
ngl this reads like cope for missing the actual vesting dump schedule coming q1... "market breathing" lmao classic euphemism
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PumpDetector
· 12-07 10:43
nah this is just noise tbh... been through enough cycles to know when people are reading tea leaves. consolidation is accumulation, not capitulation fr
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RektRecorder
· 12-07 10:36
Really, last year's surge was insane. Isn't it normal to take a breather now...
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After a 122% increase, still maintaining a 50% annualized return—who could complain about that?
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The market is hyping up panic every day, it's just ridiculous... A normal correction is being talked about like it's the end of the world.
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What's wrong with taking a break? Assets need to catch their breath too... Why does it have to go up every day to be considered a bull market?
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Wake up, everyone. Cyclical corrections are standard, it's not breaking news.
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Honestly, it's just digesting last year's craziness. What's there to be nervous about?
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A 50% annualized return is top tier in any market, yet people are still crying?
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Everyone got spoiled by that 122% surge... Now it's a bit more stable and people are already calling it a drop.
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All these so-called in-depth analyses are just trying to jump on the bandwagon, it's pointless.
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It's really not that complicated, it's just... after going up so much, it's time to take a break.
To be honest, Bitcoin's performance so far this year is essentially just digesting last year's surge. Last year, it rose by 122%, outperforming almost all other assets by 5 times. After such a frenzy, there has to be a cooling-off period, right?
Even if it stays flat or even dips slightly throughout 2025, its annualized average return can still remain around 50%—that’s a top-tier figure no matter where you look. Assets need to catch their breath, just like stocks; cyclical corrections are perfectly normal.
Right now, there are all kinds of in-depth analyses and panic spreading throughout the market, but I think it’s really unnecessary. Some things just aren’t that complicated—after a big run-up, it’s normal to take a break, that’s all. Don’t mistake a normal market breather for some kind of major crisis.