#美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC This sharp surge is quite interesting—the price shot up quickly, but trading volume didn’t keep pace.

If you looked closely at yesterday’s big bullish candle, you’d notice: the volume was clearly insufficient. There are two main reasons behind this: first, a chain reaction of leveraged liquidations in the derivatives market, with short positions getting wiped out and pushing the price higher; second, after a series of weekly pullbacks, there was a vacuum of sell orders above, making selling pressure thin. Even a bit of buying can drive the price up.

So, what’s the key now? Don’t rush into heavy positions.

Watch the 93880 level. If Bitcoin can hold steady there, or even push above 94000, then the rebound can be considered confirmed. Even if it pulls back 2% from there, it’ll still be consolidating in the previous high area starting with 92. If BTC continues to lead other coins upward, a medium-scale daily rebound is highly likely, targeting the 99-100 range.

But what if it can’t break through this key price range? Most likely, it will enter a period of sideways movement. Looking at the weekly chart, Bitcoin has been in a one-sided decline for over a month. History tells us that after prolonged pullbacks, the market often needs some time to consolidate sideways, waiting for a direction. During this phase, those smaller coins with bigger swings are actually worth watching—there’s room to trade whether they go up or down.

When the market is quiet, you can actually see things more clearly. Like on December 2, when it dipped to 84000 and quickly bounced back—the head-and-shoulders bottom pattern was textbook perfect. In those moments, a sense of timing is more important than any indicator. Even the shorting opportunity near 91 was based on an accurate grasp of the market’s rhythm.

When the market is rough, staying clear-headed is more important than anything.

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